Chiefs vs Bucs Super Bowl prop bet results

Super Bowl 2021 Correlation Bets – Predictions on Game Spread & Totals based on Player Prop Correlations from Bovada Sportsbook

By using our exclusive NFL player prop betting results and our game betting results we have been able to find correlated betting outcomes from the 2020 season.

What are correlated bets?

Have you ever thought that there was a relationship between Tom Brady passing yards prop bets and the game total results?

How about when Travis Kelce goes over the total on his receiving yards prop bets. Does that correlate to the Chiefs covering the spread?

We have the results in our database and have used them to predict the game outcome and our player prop betting picks.

We also have the week 12 game betting results to aid in our betting model.

Kansas City Chiefs Correlated Betting Trends

Chiefs Spread Betting Trends

Patrick Mahomes went OVER on touchdown passes prop bets 7 times and UNDER 10 times. In the 7 times he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 5 times.

Patrick Mahomes went OVER on interceptions prop bets 4 times and UNDER 13 times. In the four games he went OVER on interceptions the Chiefs were 0-4 ATS.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire went OVER on rushing yards prop bets 4 times and UNDER 11 times. In the 4 he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 3 times.

Travis Kelce went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 13 times and UNDER 4 times. In the 13 times he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover it 9 times.

Travis Kelce went OVER on receptions prop bets 13 times and UNDER 3 times. In the 13 times he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover it 9 times.

Demarcus Robinson failed to cover the OVER on all 7 longest reception prop bets offered this season.

Tyreek Hill went OVER the total on 10 receiving yards prop bets and UNDER on 7 receiving yards prop bets. When he went OVER the Chiefs were just 3 and 7 ATS.

Harrison Butker went OVER the total on just 5 of the 13 times kicking points props were offered this season. In the 5 games he went OVER the Chiefs were just 1 and 4 ATS.

Tyrann Mathieu went OVER all 3 times a tackles & assists prop bet was offered this season.

Chiefs Totals Betting Trends

Patrick Mahomes went OVER 4 times on interceptions prop bets and UNDER 13 times. In the four games that Patrick Mahomes went OVER on interceptions the game went OVER the total 3 times and UNDER 1 time.

Patrick Mahomes went OVER on rushing yards prop bets 8 times and UNDER 9 times. In the 8 games Patrick Mahomes went OVER the game went OVER the total 1 time and UNDER the total 7 times.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire went OVER on his rushing yards prop bets 4 times and UNDER 11 times. In the 4 games he went OVER on rushing yards prop bets the game total went OVER 3 times and UNDER 1 time.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Correlated Betting Trends

Buccaneers Spread Betting Trends

Tom Brady went OVER on touchdowns prop bets 9 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 8 of the 9 games.

Mike Evans went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 7 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 5 of the 7 games.

Mike Evans went OVER on longest receptions prop bets 8 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 6 of the 2 games.

Scotty Miller only went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 3 of the11 times the prop was offered. The Buccaneers covered the spread all 3 games of those games.

Rob Gronkowski went OVER on 7 of the 17 times receiving yards prop bets were offered. In those 7 games that he went OVER the Buccaneers covered the spread 6 times.

Rob Gronkowski went OVER on 8 of the 15 times longest reception prop bets were offered. In those 8 games that he went OVER the Buccaneers covered the spread 7 times.

Leonard Fournette went OVER on 5 of the 9 times reception prop bets were offered. The Buccaneers covered the spread in 4 of those 5 games.

Ronald Jones went OVER on 6 of the 13 times combined rushing and receiving yards prop bets were offered. In those 6 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 5 times and failed to cover 1 time.

Ronald Jones went OVER on 5 of the 12 times rushing attempts prop bets were offered. In those 5 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover 1 time.

Ronald Jones went OVER on 8 of the 15 times rushing yards prop bets were offered. In those 8 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 6 times and failed to cover 2 times.

Buccaneers Totals Betting Trends

Tom Brady went OVER on passing attempts prop bets 9 times and the game went OVER the total in 7 of the 9 games.

Mike Evans went OVER on reception prop bets 8 times and in those 8 games the game went OVER the total 7 times.

Leonard Fournette went OVER on receptions prop bets 5 times. The game went UNDER the total 4 times and OVER just 1 time.

Leonard Fournette went OVER on combined rushing and receiving yards prop bets 4 of the 12 times it was offered. The game total went OVER 3 of the 4 times he went OVER on his prop bets.

Leonard Fournette went OVER on rushing yards prop bets 5 of the 13 times it was offered. In the 5 games he went OVER the game went OVER 4 times.

Ronald Jones went OVER on receptions prop bets just 2 out of the 8 times it was offered. Both times he went OVER the game total also went OVER.

BetOnline.ag Sportsbook Review
Betonline.ag Sportsbook
50% UP TO $1,000
Bookmaker.eu Sportsbook Review
Bookmaker Sportsbook
100% Cash Bonus
Bovada Sportsbook Review
Bovada.lv Sportsbook
50% UP TO $250

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Player Prop Betting Predictions

 Do I expect all of them to hit? No. In prop betting I am laying money over 10 or 20 bets that most likely will hit if my game prediction is accurate.

Which player props correlate to my bet that the Buccaneers will win the game?

Odds are from Bovada sportsbook

 

Chiefs Predictions

Patrick Mahomes Interception YES (+114)

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards OVER 101 (-114)

Travis Kelce Receptions OVER 9 (+100)

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards OVER 107 (-103)

Tyrann Mathieu Tackles & Assists Combined OVER 4.5 (-160)

 

Buccaneers Predictions

Tom Brady Passing Touchdowns OVER 2.5 (+110)

Mike Evans Receiving Yards OVER 61.5 (+100)

Mike Evans Receptions OVER 5 (-114)

Rob Gronkowski Receiving Yards OVER 32.5 (-114)

Scotty Miller Receiving Yards OVER 18.5 (-114)

Leonard Fournette Receptions OVER 4.5 (+110)

Ronald Jones Rushing Yards OVER 38 (-114)

My best bet.

Tom Brady to win MVP (+200)

If Tampa wins then Brady will be the MVP and his +200 odds are better than the +140 the Bucs are getting on the money line.

 

BetOnline.ag Sportsbook Review
Betonline.ag Sportsbook
50% UP TO $1,000
Bookmaker.eu Sportsbook Review
Bookmaker Sportsbook
100% Cash Bonus
Bovada Sportsbook Review
Bovada.lv Sportsbook
50% UP TO $250

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Game Betting Predictions

This should be a close game with both teams capable of scoring a quick touchdown even if a team is down double digits the ability to get right back in the game in the final two minutes will be within the ability of both quarterbacks. The Bucs have been playing much better on offense since the week 12 loss to the Chiefs. That week off gave them a chance to work on the offense and it has paid off. In the week 12 match up the Chiefs won the game 27-24. It shouldn’t have been that close but Brady and the Buccaneers have a way of making big plays and I expect them to in this game. The Buccaneers have gotten better on offense since that game but the Chiefs have not. The injuries to the offensive line will hamper the Chiefs offense. I expect Tampa Bay to blitz more than they did in week 12 and try and force Mahomes to run. I know he is good on the run but that also means he will be throwing underneath passes to Kelce. While I expect Kelce to have a big game in both receptions and receiving yards that is not good news for Chiefs fans.

Two importans Travis Kelce prop betting trends

  1. Travis Kelce went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 13 times and UNDER 4 times. In the 13 times he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover it 9 times.
  2. Travis Kelce went OVER on receptions prop bets 13 times and UNDER 3 times. In the 13 times he went OVER the Chiefs covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover it 9 times.

Travis will get his yards but the Buccaneers will get the straight up win.

Super Bowl 2021 Bets:

Buccaneers +3 +110

Buccaneers ML +140

6 point teaser parlay

Bucs +9 & over 50

Score Prediction:

Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 27

Odds are from Bovada Sportsbook

My best bet.

Tom Brady to win MVP (+200)

If Tampa wins then Brady will be the MVP and his +200 odds are better than the +140 the Bucs are getting on the money line.