Super Bowl LV Betting Analytics : Buccaneers Prop Bets Correlations with Spreads & Totals
The tables below show the correlations between how a player did on his prop bets and how the Buccaneers did against the spread and on covering game totals. The player props are how each player did on a prop bet this season using Bovada sportsbook odds.
Example:
The first line below has Tom Brady completions prop bets for the 2020 season including playoff games. He went OVER 9 times and he went UNDER 9 time on completions props. In the 9 games Tom Brady went OVER on his completions prop bets the Buccaneers COVERED (spread win) 5 times. They DID NOT COVER 4 times.
Bucs Player Prop Overs & Spread Corrleations 2020
| wdt_ID | Player | POS | Prop Bet | Over | Under | %OVer | Spread Win | Spread Loss | %Win | Total Over | Total Under | %OVer | H-O | H-U | %O | New column |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | Completions | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 5 | 4 | 0.56 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 2 | Tom Brady | QB | Interceptions | 7 | 11 | 0.39 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 5 | 2 | 0.71 | 5 | 2 | 0.7 | |
| 3 | Tom Brady | QB | Passing Attempts | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 4 | 5 | 0.44 | 7 | 2 | 0.78 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 | |
| 4 | Tom Brady | QB | Passing Yards | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 | |
| 5 | Tom Brady | QB | Touchdown Passes | 9 | 8 | 0.53 | 8 | 1 | 0.89 | 5 | 4 | 0.56 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 6 | Mike Evans | WR | Receiving Yards | 7 | 10 | 0.41 | 5 | 2 | 0.71 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 4 | 3 | 0.6 | |
| 7 | Mike Evans | WR | Receptions | 8 | 8 | 0.50 | 4 | 4 | 0.50 | 7 | 1 | 0.88 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 8 | Mike Evans | WR | Longest Reception | 8 | 7 | 0.53 | 6 | 2 | 0.75 | 4 | 4 | 0.50 | 4 | 2 | 0.7 | |
| 9 | Chris Godwin | WR | Receiving Yards | 7 | 7 | 0.50 | 6 | 1 | 0.86 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | |
| 10 | Chris Godwin | WR | Receptions | 6 | 8 | 0.43 | 4 | 2 | 0.67 | 4 | 2 | 0.67 | 2 | 3 | 0.4 |
Buccaneers Player Prop & Spread Correlation Betting Trends
If you are looking to make a few prop bets and game bets then these betting trends should get your attention.
Tom Brady went OVER on touchdowns prop bets 9 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 8 of the 9 games.
Mike Evans went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 7 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 5 of the 7 games.
Mike Evans went OVER on longest receptions prop bets 8 times and the Buccaneers covered the spread in 6 of the 2 games.
Scotty Miller only went OVER on receiving yards prop bets 3 of the11 times the prop was offered. The Buccaneers covered the spread all 3 games of those games.
Rob Gronkowski went OVER on 7 of the 17 times receiving yards prop bets were offered. In those 7 games that he went OVER the Buccaneers covered the spread 6 times.
Rob Gronkowski went OVER on 8 of the 15 times longest reception prop bets were offered. In those 8 games that he went OVER the Buccaneers covered the spread 7 times.
Leonard Fournette went OVER on 5 of the 9 times reception prop bets were offered. The Buccaneers covered the spread in 4 of those 5 games.
Ronald Jones went OVER on 6 of the 13 times combined rushing and receiving yards prop bets were offered. In those 6 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 5 times and failed to cover 1 time.
Ronald Jones went OVER on 5 of the 12 times rushing attempts prop bets were offered. In those 5 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 4 times and failed to cover 1 time.
Ronald Jones went OVER on 8 of the 15 times rushing yards prop bets were offered. In those 8 games the Buccaneers covered the spread 6 times and failed to cover 2 times.
Buccaneers Player Prop & Totals Correlation Betting Trends
The tables below show the correlations between how a player did on his prop bets and how the Buccaneers did in going OVER the total. The totals is the combined total for both teams. The player props are how each player did on a prop bet this season using Bovada sportsbook odds.
The first line below has Tom Brady completions prop bets for the 2020 season including playoff games. He went OVER 9 times and he went UNDER 9 time on completions props. In the 9 games Tom Brady went OVER on his completions prop bets the game went OVER the total 6 times and went UNDER the total 3 times.
If you are looking to make a few prop bets and game bets then these betting trends should get your attention.
Tom Brady went OVER on passing attempts prop bets 9 times and the game went OVER the total in 7 of the 9 games.
Mike Evans went OVER on reception prop bets 8 times and in those 8 games the game went OVER the total 7 times.
Leonard Fournette went OVER on receptions prop bets 5 times. The game went UNDER the total 4 times and OVER just 1 time.
Leonard Fournette went OVER on combined rushing and receiving yards prop bets 4 of the 12 times it was offered. The game total went OVER 3 of the 4 times he went OVER on his prop bets.
Leonard Fournette went OVER on rushing yards prop bets 5 of the 13 times it was offered. In the 5 games he went OVER the game went OVER 4 times.
Ronald Jones went OVER on receptions prop bets just 2 out of the 8 times it was offered. Both times he went OVER the game total also went OVER.
Bucs Player Prop Overs & Totals Corrleations 2020
| wdt_ID | Player | POS | Prop Bet | Over | Under | %OVer | Spread Win | Spread Loss | %Over | Total Over | Total Under | %OVer | H-O | H-U | %O | New column |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | Completions | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 5 | 4 | 0.56 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 2 | Tom Brady | QB | Interceptions | 7 | 11 | 0.39 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 5 | 2 | 0.71 | 5 | 2 | 0.7 | |
| 3 | Tom Brady | QB | Passing Attempts | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 4 | 5 | 0.44 | 7 | 2 | 0.78 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 | |
| 4 | Tom Brady | QB | Passing Yards | 9 | 9 | 0.50 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 | |
| 5 | Tom Brady | QB | Touchdown Passes | 9 | 8 | 0.53 | 8 | 1 | 0.89 | 5 | 4 | 0.56 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 6 | Mike Evans | WR | Receiving Yards | 7 | 10 | 0.41 | 5 | 2 | 0.71 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 4 | 3 | 0.6 | |
| 7 | Mike Evans | WR | Receptions | 8 | 8 | 0.50 | 4 | 4 | 0.50 | 7 | 1 | 0.88 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | |
| 8 | Mike Evans | WR | Longest Reception | 8 | 7 | 0.53 | 6 | 2 | 0.75 | 4 | 4 | 0.50 | 4 | 2 | 0.7 | |
| 9 | Chris Godwin | WR | Receiving Yards | 7 | 7 | 0.50 | 6 | 1 | 0.86 | 4 | 3 | 0.57 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | |
| 10 | Chris Godwin | WR | Receptions | 6 | 8 | 0.43 | 4 | 2 | 0.67 | 4 | 2 | 0.67 | 2 | 3 | 0.4 |
