Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears NFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction 10-08-20
Is Tom Brady back to MVP form? Looks like after a slow start he is starting to understand Bruce Arians system. Remember what Kurt Warner did in Arizona and you have an idea of the kind of numbers that Brady can put up. There will be several name players out for the Bucs tonight and that has dropped the line from Tampa -4.5 down to -3.5.
WR Chris Godwin (hamstring) – Did Not Participate – OUT
RB LeSean McCoy (ankle) – Did Not Participate – OUT
WR Justin Watson (chest) – Did Not Participate – OUT
An important note on NFL player prop betting. If you bet on a player and he never takes the field then there is no action. Meaning, your bet is refunded. Something to consider if a player you like is a game time decision.
Buccaneers vs Bears NFL Player Prop Bet Picks
While Jameis Winston is no longer the quarterback I do think it is important to look at his prop bet results to get an idea of the system that Brady is operating in now.
Overall, Winston was a profitable OVER bet. Take a look at the ROI results below. Now, what can Tom Brady do in this system?
I included lines from different sportsbooks to give you an idea of how important it is to line shop.
Tom Brady Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 264.5 (+115) Draftkings
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 262.5 (-110) Fanduel
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 265.5 (-110) William Hill
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 264.5 (+105) MyBookie.ag
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 265.5 (-115) Bovada.lv
From BetOnline Prop Builder
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 275+ (+102) BetOnline.ag
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 285+ (+108) BetOnline.ag
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 295+ (+125) BetOnline.ag
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 305+ (+152) BetOnline.ag
From Bovadas Prop Builder
See the plus sign next to a prop. That means a tie wins. If I bet Brady on 264+ and he ends up with 264 passing yards then the bet is graded a win.
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 264+ (-114) Bovada
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 274+ (-102) Bovada
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 284+ (+108) Bovada
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 294+ (+127) Bovada
Tom Brady Passing yards OVER 304+ (+154) Bovada
Prop Bet Picks
ALL of the Tom Brady Passing yards prop bets above (except the Draftkings & Fanduel because I am not in a state that has these two sportsbooks.). I like him to go over 315 passing yards in the game. Why bet all of them all? Because prop bets have lower limits so betting at multiple sportsbooks is a requirement to hammer a bet that I really like. If you do not have at least 3 sportsbooks to make bets at then it is really difficult to make decent money making prop bets. Another thing to look at is the prop bet builder offered by BetOnline.ag & Bovada.lv. The builder allows you to really up your return by getting better odds on players that you like to go significantly over the total.
Additional prop bet for tonight
Tom Brady Touchdown passes OVER 1.5 (-137) Draftkings
Tom Brady Touchdown passes OVER 1.5 (-140) MyBookie
Tom Brady Completions OVER 23.5 (+100) Draftkings
Tom Brady Completions OVER 23.5 (+100) Bovada
Nick Foles Interceptions OVER 0.5 (-185) Bovada
Nick Foles Interceptions OVER 0.5 (-170) MyBookie
Buccaneers vs Bears NFL Game & Score Prediction
At Draftkings it is Bucs -3.5 (-106), Total 44.5 (-110)
At BetOnline.ag it is Bucs -3.5 (+100), Total 44.5 O(-107)
At Bovada it is Bucs -4 (-105), Total 45.0 O(-105)
At MyBookie.ag it is Bucs -4 (-105), Total 44.5 O(-115)