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Vikings vs 49ers Prop Bets & Score Predictions

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers Prop Bets & Score Predictions NFL Playoffs 2020

Vikings vs 49ers Betting Preview

Minnesota Vikings (10-6)

Kirk Cousins finally got the playoff win that has long avoided him in his career. Cousins led the Vikings to a 26-20 overtime win at New Orleans to get to the divisional round of the playoffs. Cousins completed 19 of 31 passes for 242 passing yards and a touchdown with zero interceptions. The key to the offense however was, running back Dalvin Cook rushed for 94 yards and a two touchdowns on 28 carries. Wide receiver Adam Thielen had 129 receiving yards on seven catches. The Vikings’ defense forced Drew Brees to commit two crucial turnovers and slowed down running back Alvin Kamara.

San Francisco 49ers (13-3)

The 49ers have arguably the best defense in the NFL. They finished the regular season eighth overall with 19.4 points allowed per game and second with just 281.8 total yards per game. Richard Sherman finished the regular season with a team-leading three interceptions. The tandem of Arik Armstead and Nick Bosa, combined for 19 total sacks. The 49ers defense wasn’t as strong down the stretch but that was caused in large part by injures. It looks like San Francisco will be at full strength for the playoffs with strong safety Jaquiski Tartt, defensive end Dee Ford and linebacker Kwon Alexander all getting playing time against the Vikings.

 

Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara

When: Saturday, January 11, 2020, 4:35 PM ET

Bovada Spread: Vikings +7 (-105), 49ers -7 (-115)

Bovada Total: 44 o(-110), 44u(-110)

Bovada Money Line: Vikings (+300), 49ers (-250)

TV Broadcast: NBC

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends

San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 10 games
San Francisco is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 7 games when playing Minnesota
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco’s last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 9 games
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Minnesota is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota’s last 13 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Minnesota Vikings Prop Betting Results

(All prop bet ATS are on OVER bets, a player going 10 – 4 would mean that 10 of his prop bets went over and 4 went under)

Minnesota Vikings 2019 Player Prop Bet Results
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
 Adam Thielen414 18
 Alexander Mattison62 8
 Dalvin Cook2327 50
 Irv Smith Jr.56112
 Kirk Cousins3447182
 Kyle Rudolph1213227
 Mike Boone 4 4
 Olabisi Johnson14 5
 Stefon Diggs1315 28
Team Total981324234

All bets are based on betting $100 on the over. The return on a bet that goes “under” would be (-$100) and the ROI on an over bet that covers would be determined by the odds.

Minnesota Vikings 2019 Player Prop Bet ROI
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
Adam Thielen291.56(1400.00) (1108.44)
Alexander Mattison537.23(200.00) 337.23
Dalvin Cook1932.64(2700.00) (767.36)
Irv Smith Jr.430.24(600.00)0.00(169.76)
Kirk Cousins2791.71(4700.00)0.00(1908.29)
Kyle Rudolph1011.97(1300.00)0.00(288.03)
Mike Boone (400.00) (400.00)
Olabisi Johnson105.00(400.00) (295.00)
Stefon Diggs1101.99(1500.00) (398.01)
Team Total8202.34(13200.00)0.00(4997.66)

 

San Francisco 49ers Prop Betting Results

(All prop bet ATS are on OVER bets, a player going 10 – 4 would mean that 10 of his prop bets went over and 4 went under)

San Francisco 49ers 2019 Player Prop Bet Results
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
 Dante Pettis 3 3
 Dede Westbrook12 3
 Deebo Samuel107118
 Emmanuel Sanders68 14
 George Kittle1212226
 Jimmy Garoppolo3744 81
 Kendrick Bourne23 5
 Marquise Goodwin57 12
 Matt Breida19 10
 Raheem Mostert55 10
 Ross Dwelley 112
 Tevin Coleman1010 20
Team Total891114204

All bets are based on betting $100 on the over. The return on a bet that goes “under” would be (-$100) and the ROI on an over bet that covers would be determined by the odds.

San Francisco 49ers 2019 Player Prop Bet ROI
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
 Dante Pettis (300.00) (300.00)
 Dede Westbrook95.24(200.00) (104.76)
 Deebo Samuel837.17(700.00)0.00137.17
 Emmanuel Sanders561.21(800.00) (238.79)
 George Kittle928.65(1200.00)0.00(271.35)
 Jimmy Garoppolo3005.13(4400.00) (1394.87)
 Kendrick Bourne173.91(300.00) (126.09)
 Marquise Goodwin430.02(700.00) (269.98)
 Matt Breida95.24(900.00) (804.76)
 Raheem Mostert443.06(500.00) (56.94)
 Ross Dwelley (100.00)0.00(100.00)
 Tevin Coleman865.10(1000.00) (134.90)
Team Total7434.73(11100.00)0.00(3665.27)

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49ers at Vikings 2018 Week 1 Prop Bets Results

Minnesota Vikings Prop Bets Predictions

Kirk Cousins Prop Bet Predictions

Kirk had a good game against the Saints. Not, if you bet the OVER on his prop bets. Take a look at his results and all five prop bets went under the total. This was a function of the running game being so successful against the Saints in the first half of the game. This week will be different as I have the 49ers doing a much better job of shutting down the Vikings running game and giving Cousins several more passing opportunities.

Kirk Cousins Passing Attempts OVER 31.5 (-134)

Kirk Cousins Completions OVER 21.5 (+108)

Dalvin Cook Prop Bets Predictions

Dalvin Cook had a great game against the Saints. However, if you break it down he had 85 rushing yards in the first half and only 10 in the second half. The reason is the Saints defensive game plan gave him the outside lane in the first half but in the second half they made an adjustment that shutdown the Vikings running game. The 49ers defensive line is better than the Saints and they will be able to shutdown the outside runs of Cook.

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards UNDER 72.5 (-112)

Dalvin Cook Combined Rushing & Receiving Yards UNDER 105.5 (-112)

Adam Thielen Prop Bets Predictions

He had a monster game against the Saints going well over on his passing yards prop bet that was posted at 55.5 yards. I have him going over again this week as the Vikings will need to throw to win against the 49ers. He also easily went over his reception prop bet line of just 4 last week.

One thing to remember about player prop bets. If the player does not take the field then there is no action and the bet is refunded. Even if he is a game time declension, I like him to go over if he plays.

Odds not posted yet.

San Francisco 49ers Prop Bets Predictions

Jimmy Garoppolo Prop Bets Predictions

Overall Jimmy was a slight under play ATS on his prop bets in 2019 with 37 bets going over and 44 going under. The only prop bet he finished with more overs than unders was on interceptions which isn’t good for betting on the team but if you like betting overs it cashed on 10 times while the under on interceptions cashed 6 times. Jimmy does tend to take a lot of risks in a game and that aggresiveness will cost him again.

Jimmy Garoppolo Interceptions OVER 0.5 (-164)

Raheem Mostert Prop Bets Predictions

He has been the back the 49ers needed to be able to control the ball on offense. He has also been the money back inside the redzone as the 49ers love to feed him the ball inside the 10 yard line. I like him to be the guy again with him getting the first touchdown of the game and at least one rushing touchdown for San Francisco.

Raheem Mostert 1st 49ers Touchdown (+300)

Raheem Mostert 2+ Touchdowns (+700)

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Vikings vs 49ers Game Predictions:

I was wrong about the Vikings last week and that would cause some people to overreact to the Vikings this week. I have been betting professionally long enough to know that this game is set up perfectly for the San Francisco 49ers. They are at home against a team that is a little beat up and has a quick turnaround. The 49ers are also getting healthy just at the right time.

I really like the 49ers to not only win but win by double digits against the Vikings. This game will be similar to what happened to the Packers when they rolled into San Francisco and just got crushed by the 49ers defense.

Game Bets: I am betting on the 49ers on the regular spread and the alternate betting lines from Bovada

San Francisco -7 (-105)
San Francisco -10 (+150)
San Francisco -14 (+200)
San Francisco -17 (+275)

Score Prediction: 49ers 37 – Vikings 17

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