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Bills vs Texans Prop Bets & Score Predictions Wild Card Game

NFL Wild Card Game Bills vs Texans Prop Bets & Score Predictions  – Josh Allen & Deshaun Watson

Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Betting Preview

Buffalo Bills (10-6)

The Bills head into the playoffs on a not-so solid footing, having both of their last two games. In Week 17, they absorbed a 13-6 home loss to the New York Jets, though, it was a game in which Buffalo barely played their starters, as the result was inconsequential to their future. Josh Allen is the current face of the Bills, as one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL. Allen has a cannon of an arm, but the Bills are far from fully capitalizing it because they don’t have an elite group of receivers. Nevertheless, they have done relatively well in the passing attack despite a wide receiver corps that is only being led by the likes of Cole Beasley and Jon Brown, who are both solid downfield playmakers but wouldn’t be treated as WR1 in most other offenses. The Bills’ rushing attack, meanwhile, provides a path to success in the Texans game. The Bills are eighth in the NFL with 128.4 rushing yards per game. They will be matched up against Houston’s run defense that is only 27th in the NFL with 4.8 rushing yards per carry. Buffalo’s defense is the team’s best asset, though, as the Bills are allowing just 16.2 points per game.

Houston Texans (10-6)

The Texans’ regular season ended in a flop, as they lost to the Tennessee Titans at home, 35-14, but that didn’t hurt their playoff chances, as they still emerged as the AFC South division champions. The Texans have an exciting young quarterback of their own in Deshaun Watson, who will enter the playoffs with 3,852 passing yards and 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on the season. He also has 413 rushing yards and a team-leading seven rushing scores. The Bills may be missing some pieces on defense, including cornerback Levi Wallace, and if he does miss the game, that will be a big plus for the Texans’ passing attack that feeds off a balanced symbiosis downfield between DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, and Kenny Stills. Fuller, however, may not be ready to play due to a groin injury, but Texans head coach Bill O’Brien has said that the wide receiver is “headed in the right direction” in terms of Fuller’s availability in the wild card round. Watson’s ability to run the ball and running back Carlos Hyde’s effectiveness on the ground will present trouble for even the Bills’ stout defense.

Where: NRG Stadium, Houston

When: Saturday, January 4, 2020, 4:35 PM ET

Bovada Line: Buffalo Bills (+3) vs. Houston Texans (-3)

TV Broadcast: ESPN/ABC

Houston Texans Betting Trends

Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 9 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games
Buffalo is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing Houston

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2018 Week 6 Buffalo at Houston Player Prop Bet Results

Below are the player prop betting results from the last time these two met in Houston. As you can see, a lot of under bets covered

2019 Buffalo Bills Prop Bets Results – Bovada Odds

All bets are based on betting $100 on the over. This means the ROI on every under bet that covers would be ($100) and the ROI on an over bet that covers would be determined by the odds.

Buffalo Bills 2019 Player Prop Bet Results
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
 Cole Beasley1514130
 Dawson Knox 58316
 Devin Singletary 2317 40
 Frank Gore 58 13
 Isaiah McKenzie  2 2
 John Brown 209130
 Josh Allen 4044387
 Tyler Kroft 12 3
 Zay Jones 1719
Team Total1101119230
Buffalo Bills 2019 Player Prop Bet ROI
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
Cole Beasley1273.57(1400.00)0.00(126.43)
Dawson Knox 403.37(800.00)0.00(396.63)
Devin Singletary 2010.43(1700.00) 310.43
Frank Gore 460.87(800.00) (339.13)
Isaiah McKenzie  (200.00) (200.00)
 John Brown 1605.78(900.00)0.00705.78
 Josh Allen 3520.67(4400.00)0.00(879.33)
 Tyler Kroft 80.00(200.00) (120.00)
 Zay Jones 86.96(700.00)0.00(613.04)
Team Total9441.64(11100.00)0.00(1658.36)

Buffalo Bills Prop Bets

(All prop bet ATS are on OVER bets, a player going 10 – 4 would mean that 10 of his prop bets went over and 4 went under)

Josh Allen Prop Bet Predictions

Josh Allen 2019 prop bet results: Completions 8 over and 6 under, Interceptions, 7 over and 8 under, Passing Attempts 7 over and 6 under, Passing Yards 7 over and 8 under, Rushing Yards 5 over and 9 under, Touchdown Passes, 6 over and 7 under.

You can see from a breakdown of Josh Allen’s 2019 prop bet results that he has been overrated by the public on his rushing yards prop bets.

Bets: Josh Allen Passing Yards UNDER 219.5 (-112)

2019 Houston Texans Prop Bets Results – Bovada Odds

All bets are based on betting $100 on the over. This means the ROI on every under bet that covers would be ($100) and the ROI on an over bet that covers would be determined by the odds.

Houston Texans 2019 Player Prop Bet Results
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
 Carlos Hyde910 19
 Darren Fells49 13
 DeAndre Hopkins1614 30
 Deshaun Watson4046187
 Duke Johnson2329153
 Jordan Akins22 4
 Keke Coutee  1 1
 Kenny Stills58 13
 Will Fuller712 19
Team Total1061312239
Houston Texans 2019 Player Prop Bet ROI
PlayersWinLossPushTotal
Carlos Hyde791.16(1000.00) (208.84)
Darren Fells404.82(900.00) (495.18)
DeAndre Hopkins1260.03(1400.00) (139.97)
Deshaun Watson3210.28(4600.00)0.00(1389.72)
Duke Johnson1982.51(2900.00)0.00(917.49)
Jordan Akins173.91(200.00) (26.09)
Keke Coutee  (100.00) (100.00)
Kenny Stills437.31(800.00) (362.69)
Will Fuller589.22(1200.00) (610.78)
Team Total8849.24(13100.00)0.00(4250.76)

Houston Texans Prop Bets

(All prop bet ATS are on OVER bets, a player going 10 – 4 would mean that 10 of his prop bets went over and 4 went under)

Deshaun Watson Prop Bet Predictions

2019 Deshaun Watson prop bets results using Bovada sportsbook odds. Completions 5 over and 10 under, Interceptions 7 over and 7 under, Passing Attempts 5 over and 9 under, Passing Yards 6 over and 9 under, Rushing Yards 9 over and 6 under, Touchdown Passes 8 over and 6 under.

If you want to make an over bet on Watson the two areas that favor a cover are rushing yards and touchdown passes. However, if you look at last years game, the Bills did a great job of containing his rushing game and only allowed 2 rushing yards.

Bet: Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards UNDER 25.5 (-106)

Bills vs Texans Game Betting Predictions:

The Bills will visit Houston to start the NFL playoffs. I know the Texans have home field advantage but the Bills have shown an ability to play defense anywhere. Last season the Bills stopped Watson from running the ball and that shutdown a vital part of the Texans offense. Buffalo should be able to do the same thing again and hold down the Houston offense. However, the Bills offense still needs to be a concern as Josh Allen will need to produce some passing offense to get the victory. I have him doing just enough in a close low scoring game.

Bet: I am betting at Bovada because they are offering the Bills +3 (-125). I will not bet +2.5 as I think this game will be that close.

Score Prediction: Bills 20 – Texans 17

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