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Bills vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 16 Prop Bets & Score Prediction

Bills vs Patriots Prop Bets & Score Prediction 12/21/19

Game Overview

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 21 at 4:30 pm ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • TV: NFL Net
  • ATS Odds: Patriots -6.5
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 37 ½

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: -6°C/22°F
  • Humidity: 78%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 3 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 46%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Bills vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 16 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

The Bills Can Catch Patriots This Saturday, sort of. The Buffalo Bills (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) have clinched a playoff spot for the second time in three years. But they’ve got bigger things on their mind: The Bills will be in Foxborough this Saturday to take on the New England Patriots (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS), who lead Buffalo by one game in the AFC East. Kick-off is at 4:30 PM ET on the NFL Network, with the Patriots laying 6.5 points at press time and the total set at 37.5.

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Beating New England won’t be enough to put the Bills in first place – they also need things to go perfectly in Week 17. However, Buffalo may be catching the defending champs at just the right time. The Patriots are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS over their past six games, with QB Tom Brady slipping further and further towards mediocrity at age 42. Brady’s troubles this year began in Week 4, when he went to Buffalo and posted a 45.9 passer rating in a 16-10 victory over the Bills (+7.5) and their outstanding defense.

Buffalo Bills Week 4 Prop Bet Results vs New England Patriots in Buffalo
PlayerProp BetPosTeamLineResultOverW/LUnderW/L
Cole BeasleyReceiving YardsWRBUF45.575-115Win-115Loss
Cole BeasleyReceptionsWRBUF47-115Win-115Loss
John BrownReceiving YardsWRBUF50.569-115Win-115Loss
John BrownReceptionsWRBUF3.55-125Win-105Loss
Josh AllenCompletionsQBBUF20.513-115Loss-115Win
Josh AllenInterceptionsQBBUF0.53-220Win180Loss
Josh AllenPassing AttemptsQBBUF32.528-115Loss-115Win
Josh AllenPassing YardsQBBUF210.5153-115Loss-115Win
Josh AllenRushing YardsQBBUF35.526-115Loss-115Win
Josh AllenTouchdown PassesQBBUF10-140Loss110Win
Zay JonesReceiving YardsWRBUF20.54-115Loss-115Win
New England Patriots Week 4 Prop Bet Results vs Buffalo Bills in Buffalo
PlayerProp BetPosTeamLineResultOverW/LUnderW/L
James WhiteReceiving YardsRBNE35.557-115Win-115Loss
James WhiteReceptionsRBNE4.58-115Win-115Loss
Josh GordonReceiving YardsWRNE60.546-115Loss-115Win
Josh GordonReceptionsWRNE43-115Loss-115Win
Julian EdelmanReceiving YardsWRNE70.530-115Loss-115Win
Julian EdelmanReceptionsWRNE5.54-150Loss120Win
Philip DorsettReceiving YardsWRNE50.510-115Loss-115Win
Philip DorsettReceptionsWRNE3.52-115Loss-115Win
Sony MichelRushing YardsRBNE50.563-115Win-115Loss
Tom BradyCompletionsQBNE2218-115Loss-115Win
Tom BradyInterceptionsQBNE0.51-135Win105Loss
Tom BradyPassing AttemptsQBNE36.539-115Win-115Loss
Tom BradyPassing YardsQBNE270.5150-115Loss-115Win
Tom BradyTouchdown PassesQBNE20-115Loss-115Win

Patriots vs Bills 2019 Team Betting Trends

New England Patriots

New England is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New England’s last 25 games
New England is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games at home
New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England’s last 11 games at home
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 7 games
Buffalo is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

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Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Betting Predictions:

 

The Buffalo Bills may be winning ugly but they are winning. In fact, these two teams have both been winning ugly. The Patriots have been relying on a top defense to keep them close in games. Today, that should play out again as the game will be dominated by the two defenses. In a game I have going down to the final minute. The Patriots should pull it out by a field goal. I am taking a position on the total but only as part of a two team 6 point teaser.

Bets: Bills +6.5 & 2 team 6 point teaser, Bills +12.5 and under 43.5

Score Prediction: Patriots 20 – Bills 17

Patriots vs Bills Prop Bet Predictions:

Odds from Bovada sportsbook * see live NFL lines here.

Alternate Line

Buffalo Bills +3.5 (+115)

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