New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction
When: 8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 3, 2019
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
Bovada Line: Patriots -3. O/U: 45
The Patriots are seeking its first 9-0 start since 2015. Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, the only quarterback to ever pass for at least 1,500 yards and rush for 500 in the first seven games of a season.
New England leads the league with 19 interceptions and 31 sacks, including five last week, but its run defense showed some cracks by allowing the Cleveland Browns to rush for 159 yards in the 27-13 victory. Second-year running back Sony Michel has at least 16 rushing attempts over the past five games but he is averaging only 3.3 yards per carry.
Jackson threw for a season-low 143 yards in a 30-16 victory at Seattle on last week but he ran for 116 yards and a touchdown. Running back Mark Ingram has rushed for 470 yards and seven scores while Mark Andrews has a team-high 36 receptions and is one of three tight ends that have combined for 62 catches. The Ravens defense has had problems this season allowing an average of 265.4 yards passing a game.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends
Baltimore is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots Betting Trends
New England is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games on the road
New England is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Bet Stats
Below are the NFL Player 2019 prop betting results using the Bovada sportsbook betting lines. Lamar Jackson is a slight win on betting the over while Mark Ingram has been a solid under bet this season.
|Mark Ingram II||$514.78||($1,200.00)||$0.00||($685.22)|
New England Patriots Player Prop Bet Stats
If you have been making player prop bets on Tom Brady then I hope you were betting the under. If you had only bet the under you would have made $411 so far this season. That is not unusual for Brady as he is one of the top under plays over the last three seasons.
Patriots vs Ravens Game Betting Prediction:
The Ravens defense is not what it used to be. Brady should be in position to have a 285+ passing yard night and at least 2 touchdowns. However, the Patriots do have trouble with running quarterbacks. The Pats should be able to take away Mark Ingram but that will give Jackson an opportunity to run. I like him to have a decent game against the Pats but not good enough to pull out the win. Going for a totals bet in this.
Bet: Over 44.5
Score Prediction: Patriots 28 – Ravens 24
Patriots vs Ravens Prop Bet Prediction:
Over the last two and a half seasons, if you had bet the over on every Tom Brady player prop bet offered by Bovada. You would have lost $4,631.55. This season Brady is only down $411 after 8 weeks of play. However, I see no reason to go against a very strong trend of Brady being a solid under bet.
For the numbers that back this up see the article: