Eagles vs Saints Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction 1-13-19
The Philadelphia Eagles turned their season around by winning 5 of their last 6 regular season games to sneak into the final Wild Card spot in the NFC. It was widely believed that their run would come to an end in the Wild Card with a trip to Chicago on tap, but they somehow managed to survive, pulling out an improbable 16-15 win. The Eagles are now 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games, not to mention 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games away from home. The good run does not extend to games against the New Orleans Saints, with Philly going just 1-4 SU and ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Saints are coming off a spectacular 13-3 season, and while they dropped their final game of the regular season to the Carolina Panthers, the vast majority of their starters were on the sidelines for that one. Overall, the Saints went 7-1 SU at home this season, taking their home record to an impressive 14-2 in their last 16 games.
As far as the point total goes, 5 of the last 7 for New Orleans have gone UNDER, but that all changes in home games, with 9 of the last 13 games in New Orleans going OVER the point total.
- When: Sunday, January 13 at 4:40 PM EST
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
- TV: FOX
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- NFC Divisional Round Spread: New Orleans Saints -7.5 (Total 50.5)
- See Live Betting Lines from several Top Sportsbooks here
- Weather: Dome Stadium
Eagles vs Saints NFC Divisional Round Betting Trends
- Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
- New Orleans is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
- New Orleans is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 7 games
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
Nick Foles now has multiple touchdowns in three straight games. He continues to do his Rocky impression with improbable wins. Foles now gets a Saints funnel defense that ranks well against the run but much worse against the pass. Once again, Foles is set have a big day but will it be enough against a Saints team on the road? The Eagles are once again a dog but when has that stopped them?
Josh Adams is in play if you think the Eagles will be in the lead and trying to control the clock. I think they will be behind early and that puts Darren Sproles in play. When these two teams met back in Week 11, the Saints smashed the Eagles 48-7 and the Eagles were limited to 12 rushing attempts.
Nick Foles spreads things out more than Wentz. Zach Ertz, Nelson Agholor and even a Golden Tate siting. Last week it was Dallas Goedert. While I like the Eagles to be behind and passing I will layoff the obvious choice in Zach Ertz and go with the other receivers as Foles tendency to spread things out creates better value for them. Alshon Jeffery will have to face Marshon Lattimore this week. I prefer Nelson Agholor and Golden Tate. Dallas Goedert might not get the targets if the Eagles are down early and go to a three wide receiver set.
Eagles Prop Bet Picks
Darren Sproles Receiving Yards OVER 20.5 (-115)
Darren Sproles Rushing Yards UNDER 29.5 (-115)
Golden Tate Receiving Yards OVER 36.5 (-115)
Nick Foles Passing Yards OVER 275.5 (-115)
Nick Foles Interceptions OVER 0.5 (-200)
New Orleans Saints Betting Partners
It’s a home game and Brees finished with a 21 touchdown to 1 interception ratio at home. He torched this Eagles defense for four touchdowns and 363 yards at home back in Week 11. It looks like the Saints are on a mission to make up for last years debacle and make at least one more trip to the Super Bowl.
What to do with the running backs? Alvin Kamara in close games and Mark Ingram in games with a lead. When they met last time it was a blowout and Ingram had 16 rushes for 103 yards with 2 touchdowns. While Kamara had 13 carries for 71 yards and 1 reception for 37 yards. So, who to play? One thing to consider is Sean Payton will not let up in a playoff game. The loss to the Vikings on the road will have the Saints continue to pour it on even with a sizable lead in the second half. I really like Kamara to be the primary back and get 15+ rushes with 5+ receptions. Ingram will be the fourth running back and he should still get 8+ rushes but I do not expect him to have the day Kamara will have. If you are playing DFS then taking Ingram to vulture a touchdown is a play I would make.
Michael Thomas against the Eagles in week 11 he had 4 receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown. I would expect the Eagles to do try and take away his big play ability are roll the defense toward him this week. That should help free up my primary receiver for the Saints. Ted Ginn should be a nice option this week with Drew Brees and the Saints looking to make quick work of the Eagles, I like Ginn to get several deep targets. The Eagles allowed the 3rd most passing plays of 20+ yards.
Saints Prop Bet Picks
Drew Brees Passing Attempts UNDER 34.5 (-115)
Drew Brees Passing Yards OVER 290.5 (-115)
Drew Brees Touchdowns OVER 2 (-130)
Tedd Ginn Jr Receiving Yards OVER 48.5 (-120)
Alvin Kamara Rush & Receiving OVER Yards 96.5 (-115)
Eagles vs Saints Betting Prediction:
I have taken the dogs in the first three playoff games this weekend. Not in this one as the Saints are on a mission and the Eagles just do not have the talent to keep up with New Orleans. The Saints should come out strong and dominate early. That will force the Eagles into a pass happy offense which should look good for Eagles stats but the double digit victory will go to the Saints.