Eagles vs Bears Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction NFL Wild Card Game
For the last 6 weeks of the season, the Eagles were basically in a playoff type scenario, as they were well aware that a couple of losses would probably mean the end of the road. They went 5-1 SU in those 6 games, borrowing a little bit of the magic from last year, with Nick Foles coming in late in the season to take over from the injured Carson Wentz. The Eagles closed out their season by covering the spread in each of their last 3 games.
The Chicago Bears are definitely for real, going 12-4 on the season and closing things out by winning 9 of their last 10 games. They could easily have rested some guys and taken a bit of a day off in Week 17 on the road to the Vikings, but they went all out, playing their typical smothering brand of defensive football to grab the 24-10 win. The Bears have been an outstanding ATS bet this year, covering in 9 of their last 10 games, while also going a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games they started as the favorite.
- When: Sunday, January 6 at 4:40 PM EST
- Where: Soldier Field, Chicago
- TV: FOX
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- 2018 NFC Wild Card Betting Lines: Chicago Bears -6.5 (Total 42)
- Live Odds from ALL top Sportsbooks Here
- Overcast: 3°C/38°F
- Humidity: 70%
- Precipitation: 4%
- Cloud Cover: 82%
- Wind: 7 mph WSW
- Stadium Type: Open
Eagles vs Bears 2018 NFC Wild Card Betting Trends
- Chicago is 10-2 ATS when playing with 6 or fewer days rest this season
- Chicago is 9-2 ATS in games played on a grass field this season
- Philadelphia is 75-52 ATS in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992
- Philadelphia is 2-0 straight up against Chicago over the last 3 seasons
- 1 of 1 game in this series have gone Under the Total over the last 3 seasons
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
He’s baaaaackkkk! Nick Foles will start once again for the Eagles but is dealing with bruised ribs. Foles missed some times because of the injury in last week’s game against the Redskins but appears to be in good enough shape for this matchup. The Bears rank 1st in pass DVOA and 2nd in run DVOA. If he can pullout another Super Bowl for the Eagles then Rocky is about to get company in Philadelphia.
The Eagles’ backfield is a three man rotation. Josh Adams is the starter, but was out-carried 12 to 11 by Wendell Smallwood last week. Now add in Darren Sproles as a pass receiving back and you have the touches spread around. Sproles quietly totaled three touchdowns in the final five games and I like him in this one as the Eagles running game should be shutdown by the Bears and he makes a good safety valve receiver for Foles.
Foles and Nelson Agholor in their final two games combined for three touchdowns, 156 yards and 22 targets. The rise of Agholor has rendered Golden Tate to be an afterthought in this offense. Zach Ertz is coming off a poor three catch finale, but had a 12 catch 110 yard and two touchdown performance the week before.
The Eagles will likely employ a heavy usage of 12 personnel (two tight ends, two wide receivers, one running back) against the Bears. In those sets Dallas Goedert is on the field and he is a good pass receiving tight end. The Eagles used two-tight-end sets 34.4 percent of the time this season, second-highest in the league, but that number jumped even higher (45.1 percent) over the season’s final four games.
The key here is that the Bears will need to use one of their pass rushing outside linebackers to cover him and neither has the defensive skill set to do it. I really like both Philly tight ends today as the key to the Eagles offense. If Foles can hit the tight ends then he can neutralize the pass rush at the same time he will be able to pick up first downs.
Eagles Prop Bet Picks
Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards OVER 35.5 (-115)
Zach Ertz Receiving Yards OVER 62.5 (-115)
Darren Sproles Receptions OVER 2.5 (+100)
Nick Foles Passing Yards OVER 255.5 (-115)
Nick Foles Passing Attempts OVER 36.5 (-115)
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards OVER 18.5 (-115)
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Mitchell Trubisky has shown wide home/road splits where they are massively in his favor at home. At home, Trubisky compiled a 19:9 touchdown to interception ratio this season. On the road, he had a 5:3 touchdown to interception ratio. This Eagles defense allowed Deshaun Watson to score four touchdowns, Dak Prescott to score three touchdowns and Drew Brees to score four touchdowns.
Jordan Howard is coming off his best game of the season where he ran 21 times for 109 yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles rank 9th in run DVOA. However Mark Ingram ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns, Saquon Barkley ran for 101 yards and a touchdown, Ezekiel Elliott ran for 113 yards, Todd Gurley found the end zone twice on them, and even Deshaun Watson ran for two touchdowns.
Allen Robinson rested last week with a rib injury but it sounds like he’ll be back for this game. The Bears spread the ball around with Robinson back, that lowers the targets for Taylor Gabriel, Anthony Miller and Trey Burton. Of them I would take Robinson for yardage because of the breakdowns is the injury riddled Eagles secondary. Trubisky will be able to run around enough to get some open receivers. He should be able to at least make one accurate deep pass and I have Robinson the most likely beneficiary.
If Trey Burton does not play then Cohen should get a few more targets.
Bears Prop Bet Picks
Allen Robinson Receiving Yards OVER 55.5 (-115)
Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards OVER 230.5 (-115)
Mitchell Trubisky Attempts UNDER 31.5 (-115)
Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards OVER 25.5 (-115)
Eagles vs Bears Betting Prediction:
Which side to take? I am taking both sides. In other words I am taking the over as my bet. The Eagles offense under Foles took off when the Eagles went to the two tight end offense where both tight ends are excellent receivers.
The Bears offense isn’t great but they go against an Eagles defense that is breaking down too much to go far in the playoffs. The Eagles secondary would be shredded by the Saints or Rams. Even the Bears should be able to hit a couple of deep passes.