2019 College Football National Championship Prediction Alabama vs Clemson

Over the course of their 14 games this season,  Alabama put together an 8-6 record against the spread. While that may not seem like a particularly good return for a team that was as dominant as the Tide were during the regular season, you do need to remember that they had some rather lofty point spreads to cover.

The National Championship Game is played at a neutral venue, it’s worth looking at what Alabama did away from home this season, which was to go 3-2 ATS. Again, not an entirely convincing mark and one that falls a good way short of what Clemson delivered in the same scenario.

The Clemson Tigers finished the season with the exact same 8-6 ATS as their opponent this coming Monday, but it is fair to suggest that they may have the edge in one particular area.  Away from home,  Clemson was 5-1 ATS in 6 games. They also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games overall. This will be the 5th time that these two teams have met, with the spread results split right down the middle at 2-2 in the last 4 meetings.

 

  • When: Monday, Jan. 7, 8 PM ET
  • Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, Calif.
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: ESPN
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • 2019 National Championship Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -6 (Total 59.5)
  • Weather: Light Rain, Wind 5-10 & Temp mid 50’s
  • H2H Record: Alabama leads 3-1

Alabama vs Clemson Spread Trends

Clemson

  • Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 bowl games.
  • Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Tigers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Alabama

  • Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. ACC.
  • Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in January.

Alabama vs Clemson Totals Trends

Clemson

  • Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 neutral site games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in January.
  • Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 non-conference games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 Monday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 bowl games.
  • Under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Alabama

  • Over is 6-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 games in January.
  • Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 non-conference games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 20-6-2 in Crimson Tide last 28 neutral site games.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Crimson Tide last 8 vs. ACC.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-5 in Crimson Tide last 16 bowl games.
  • Over is 19-9-1 in Crimson Tide last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Alabama vs Clemson Prop & Score Predictions:

This game will not be played in a dome so throw out a lot of what you have seen before in Championship games. I am in San Francisco and it is 24 hours before kickoff. The weather is miserable with wind, rain and temps in the low 50’s. It is expected to be a light rain with cool temps at kickoff. It might not sound like much but this is the type of weather that will make for a slippery field and ball. If you have seen previous games in Santa Clara, you will know it is not the best field for wet weather. I do think weather will change this game and I really like the under.

Using Bovada Odds
(179 props available – See them here)

Bet: Under 59 & Clemson +5.5

Score Prediction:
Alabama 27 – Clemson 24

CFB Championship Prop Bets

Clemson Totals Points UNDER 26.5 (-115)

Alabama Total Points UNDER 31.5 (-110)

Total Points UNDER 51.5 (+175)

DeVonta Smith UNDER 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Tua Tagovalloa Passing Yards UNDER 297.5 (-110)

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards UNDER 259.5 (-110)

Tua Tagovalloa Interceptions OVER 0.5 (+130)

Tua Tagovalloa Rushing Yards OVER 19.5 (-120)