Steelers vs Saints NFL
Player & Game Betting Predictions

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 23, 2018
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
Spread: Saints -6.
Total: 53
Weather: Dome

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends
  • Steelers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Steelers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
  • Steelers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 16.
  • Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
  • Saints are 25-5 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 16.
  • Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
  • Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Saints are 48-21-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Ben Roethlisberger is looking old. Almost every star player hits a wall where he still thinks he has the body of a 25 year old but he doesn’t and Ben looks like that now. If he had a star running back he could still lead the Steelers to the playoffs and a potential Super Bowl. However, without Bell he tries to do more than he can now and that leads to turnovers.

James Conner is trending towards being doubtful, meaning we’ll get another week of Jaylen Samuels. Last week he had 142 yards on the ground, but this week he goes against the 3rd ranked run DVOA. He can be effective but he is not a replacement for Le’Veon Bell.

Antonio Brown caught his NFL-leading 13th receiving touchdown last week against the Patriots but finished with just four catches and 49 yards. JuJu Smith-Schuster didn’t have a good game last week and he was limited in practice do to injury (check to see if he plays as I have him playing right now).  Vance McDonald is a guy to watch for the Steelers if JuJu can’t go.

Steelers Prop Bet Picks

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards UNDER 305.5 (-105)
Antonio Browns Receiving Yards UNDER 85.5 (-110)

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview


Drew Brees has shown big home/road splits and this is a home game for Brees. In six home games this season, Brees has a 20 touchdowns and just 1 interception. He also has four 300-yard games. In seven road games this season Brees has 11 touchdown and 4 interception with just one 300-yard game. The Steelers rank among the bottom third of the league in pass defense.

Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram have had a 60/40 timeshare favoring Kamara. I really like Kamara in this game. The Steelers run defense has been solid but they can be passed on and Kamara’s receiving abilities scream out for 5 or 6 receptions. I can see Ingram being brought in for a majority of the second half plays with a heavy emphasis on the run. But, it is Kamara who I have putting up over 100 combined yards.

Michael Thomas hasn’t scored a touchdown in four straight games but, three of those four games were on the road. The targets have been there during those four games (9, 13, 8, 6), so welcome home and enjoy your touchdown Thomas. Ted Ginn was activated off the I.R. and is eligible to come back at any time. His return would hurt Tre’Quan Smith who really hasn’t shown that much recently.

Saints Prop Bet Picks

Drew Brees Passing Yards OVER 257.5 (-118)
Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards OVER 38.5 (-118)
Michael Thomas Receiving Yards OVER 85.5 (-115)

Steelers vs Saints Betting Prediction:

The Steelers are not the team they used to be. In fact, both the Steelers & Patriots look like they are heading downward. The Saints on the other hand look like a team on the rise with a defense that looks ready to go deep in the playoffs. The Saints defense should be able to shutdown the Steelers running game and Ben will have to win the game passing the ball. He should end up with at least two interceptions against this defense. On offense, the Saints should be able to score more than the Chargers did a couple of weeks ago. I have this one a blowout as the Saints finish their humiliation of the State of Pennsylvania….sorry Eagles fans.

Betting Pick: Saints -6

Score Prediction: Saints 37 – Steelers 20