Saints vs Panthers
MNF Betting Predictions
When: Monday, December 17 at 8:15 PM EST
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Live Stream: NFL League Pass
NFL Week 15 Odds: New Orleans Saints -6.5 (Total 51.5)
Cloud Cover: 2%
Wind: 5 mph WNW
Stadium Type: Open
From MyBookie Sportsbook
Saints vs Panthers NFL Week 15 Betting Trends
- New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
- New Orleans is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
- Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
- Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 5 games at home
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
Last week Drew Brees threw for just 201 yards, one touchdown and one interception against a poor Buccaneers defense. Despite the plus matchup, Drew Brees’ road woes continue. In seven road games this season, Brees has just one game where he threw for 300 yards and has a 11 touchdown to 3 interception ratio. In six home games, he has four 300 yard games and a 20 touchdown to 1 interception ratio. The Panthers are a top-10 team against the run but a bottom-four team against the pass.
The Saints continue to use both backs at about a 60/40 split in favor of Alvin Kamara over Mark Ingram, but Kamara hasn’t hit 100 all-purpose yards in three weeks. It’s clear the return of Mark Ingram has meant a reduced workload and productivity for Kamara. Ingram out-rushed Kamara 13 to 12 last week.
Michael Thomas seems to keep turning out good games no matter how well the Saints offense does. Last week he had a team-high 13 targets and with 11 catches for 90 yards but no touchdowns. The Panthers have allowed 28 passing touchdowns this season, tied for third most in the league. The other Saints receivers are pretty inconsistent to who will get the targets each week. Tre’Quan Smith has just a total of two targets over the last two weeks. The Saints might activate Ted Ginn from I.R. and if they do Drew Brees has shown more trust in Ginn than Smith.
Saints Prop Bet Picks
Total Receiving Yards – Alvin Kamara (NO) OVER 39.5 (-115)
Total Receiving Yards – Michael Thomas (NO) OVER 89.5 (-115)
Total Receiving Yards – Tre’Quan Smith (NO) UNDER 30.5 (-115)
Total Passing Yards – Drew Brees (NO) UNDER 284.5 (-115)
Total Touchdown Passes – Drew Brees (NO) UNDER 2 (+110)
Note: 2 Touchdowns would be a push
Total Rushing Yards – Mark Ingram (NO) OVER 50.5 (-115)
Carolina Panthers Betting Preview
The Panthers have dropped five straight games and are fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive. Cam Newton is coming off a another poor performance against a good Browns secondary, where he failed to throw a touchdown. It’s obvious the shoulder injury he’s dealing with is preventing him from throwing the deep ball. For the second week in a row, Taylor Heinicke was called on to throw a Hail Mary pass. He did rush five times for 23 yards but, his lack of a deep pass is letting defenses bring up the safety and that far out ways anything he can do running the ball.
Christian McCaffrey is going to have his hands full this week against the 3rd ranked run DVOA. With Newton hurting the Panthers have turned to McCaffrey near the goal line and he has responded with 12 touchdowns over his last seven games. .
Curtis Samuel and D.J. Moore both saw eight targets apiece last week. While Devin Funchess played on 39% of the snaps last week and didn’t record a reception. With Newton unable to throw the deep pass, the tight end is still in play even without Greg Olsen. Rookie Ian Thomas started for Greg Olsen and saw a team-high 11 targets and for 9 receptions and 77 receiving yards.
Panthers Prop Bet Picks
Total Receiving Yards – Christian McCaffrey (CAR) OVER 56.5 (-115)
Total Receiving Yards – Devin Funchess (CAR) UNDER 29.5 (-115)
Total Passing Yards – Cam Newton (CAR) UNDER 264.5 (-115)
Total Touchdown Passes – Cam Newton (CAR) UNDER 1.5 (+150)
Total Rushing Yards – Cam Newton (CAR) UNDER 35.5 (-115)
Saints vs Panthers Betting Prediction
The Saints on the road have won 6 of their last 7, although they are just 2-4 in their last 6 visits to Charlotte. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
The Panthers offense has gone to sleep a little during that 5-game run, averaging just 20 PPG. The Panthers have gone 2-2 ATS as the underdog this season, plus they covered on the one occasion they were made a home underdog this season.