Cowboys vs Colts
Prop Bet & Game Predictions
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 16, 2018
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Betting Line: Colts -3. O/U: 47
Cowboys vs Colts Betting Trends
- Colts are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Colts are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Colts are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Colts are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.
- Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys Betting Preview
Last week Dak Prescott torched the Eagles’ secondary for 455 yards and three touchdowns. The trade for Amari Cooper has given the Cowboys the deep passing game they needed to be a complete offense. This week he goes against an average Colts defense and the Cowboys should be able to move the ball on the ground and in the air.
Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 113 yards and added 79 receiving yards on 12 catches. While the Colts have been good against the run this season, Elliott is one of the better all around backs in the NFL and he should still get his yards rushing and receiving.
Amari Cooper had the game of his career with 10 catches for 217 yards and 3 touchdowns on 13 targets. Since the Cowboys do not really have a good option at tight end, the second receiver to look at is Michael Gallup. He played on 78% of the snaps last week. He also saw nine targets but only finished with 24 yards. I expect the targets to continue and this is a good time to take him on the upside for production.
Cowboys Prop Bet Picks
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards OVER 92.5 (-110)
Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards OVER 41.5 (-105)
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards OVER 18.5 (-105)
Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
T.Y. Hilton is questionable with his ankle injury and didn’t practice all week. It looks like he will be a game time decision.
Andrew Luck bounced back strongly from his performance against the Jaguars, throwing for 399 yards and two touchdowns. The Colts average the second most passing attempts per game, so we know that Luck will have plenty of attempts again this week.
The Cowboys rank 4th in run DVOA and Marlon Mack has been held to 85 or fewer rushing yards in five straight games. Since Mack isn’t involved in the passing game, he might not see many touches this week.
The Colts passing volume is concentrated among T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron. The two accounted for 50% of the targets last week. Hilton finished with 9 catches for 199 yards. I expect Hilton to play and the Colts to air it out again.
Colts Prop Betting Picks
Andrew Luck Passing Yards OVER 275.5 (-115)
Eric Ebron Receiving Yards OVER 60.5 (-115)
Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards OVER 35.5 (-115)
Cowboys vs Colts Betting Predictions:
This should be a good game to watch even if I have no money bet on it. However, I did bet money on it. I took the Cowboys on the money line. Both of these teams are playing better now than at the beginning of the season. I just look at the talent and the Cowboys have more on defense and that should be the difference in the game.