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Titans at Texans Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction

When: Monday, 8:15 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
Radio: ESPN Radio
Live Stream: WatchESPN
NFL Week 12 Lines: Houston Texans -4.5 (Total 41.5)
Clear: 8°C/47°F
Humidity: 53%
Precipitation: 0%
Cloud Cover: 19%
Wind: 6 mph NNW
Stadium Type: Retractable

Titans vs Texans NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston
Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings
Titans are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings
Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

The line favors a low scoring and close game with the Titans an implied game total of 17.75 with Marcus Mariota expected to start tonight. Even with Mariota at quarterback the Texans defense should be able to control the line of scrimmage and force quick or rollout passes by Mariota.

At running back, the tandem of pass catching back Dion Lewis and rusher Derrick will have a tough time of it against one of the NFL’s top run defenses.. The back I like here is Lewis in the check down roll.

At receiver, I am not expecting much from Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, or, Tajae Sharpe. None of them impresses as a number one receiver. Of them I would lean to Smith to get the targets in a passing game that will work the short to intermediate zones.

Tennessee Titans Prop Bet Picks

Total Receiving Yards – Corey Davis (TEN) Under 64.5 (-120)

Total Receiving Yards – Jonnu Smith (TEN) Over 33.5 (-115)

Total Receptions – Dion Lewis (TEN) Over 3.5 (-120)

Total Rushing Yards – Lamar Miller (HOU) Under 64.5 (-120)

Total Passing Yards – Marcus Mariota (TEN) Under 219.5 (-115)

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Texans are on a 7 game winning streak and they will need to keep Deshaun Watson healthy if they are going to make it to the playoffs. Deshaun Watson has had 25 or fewer passing attempts in five straight games. He has thrown for 10 touchdowns and four interceptions in those five games. However, I like him tonight against a Titans defense that is good against the run but can be beaten in the air.

Lamar Miller is getting the touches with 20 carries last week and averaging 19 carries over the last three weeks. Lamar Miller will be going against a good Titans rush defense so even with 20 attempts he still may not break the 75 yard barrier.

At receiver, Deandre Hopkins had five receptions for fifty six yards and one touchdown last week. This is in large part indicative of the reduced number of attempts by Watson. Keke Coutee led the team with nine targets last week. Jordan Thomas is only getting one or two targets a week at tight end with a high of 4 targets against the dolphins several weeks ago. He may have a big game one day but it isn’t likely it will be today. This should be the night for the Texans passing game to shine. I like Hopkins and Coutee to both get 6+ receptions with Hopkins in a good spot for 85+ yards and a touchdown.

Houston Texans Prop Bet Picks

Total Receiving Yards – DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) Over 92.5 (-130)

Total Receiving Yards – Keke Coutee (HOU) Over 48.5 (-115)

Total Receptions – Keke Coutee (HOU) Over 4 (-130)

Total Rushing Yards – Deshaun Watson (HOU) Over 25.5 (-105)

Total Passing Yards – Deshaun Watson (HOU) Over 249.5 (-115)

Titans vs Texans Score Prediction

The Titans have been an inconsistent team and that starts at the quarterback position. Mariota doesn’t have a lot of help around him and it will show tonight. The Texans defense should be able to control the line of scrimmage and take away the running game of the Titans. They will also be able to put pressure on him and really hold down the Titans offense tonight. On the other side, this is the night for Watson to shine passing and running the ball. The Titans defense is good against the run but Watson should be able to break off a couple of 10+ yard runs tonight. The place where the Texans should really be able to move the ball is in the air. I have DeAndre Hopkins going over 100 yards receiving tonight and the Texans covering for an 8th straight win.

Score Prediction: Texans 27 – Titans 17

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