Redskins vs Cowboys Expert Prop Bet Picks & Score Prediction
Redskins vs Cowboys NFL Week 12 Betting Trends
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings
Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Dallas
Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings
Underdog is 31-10 ATS in their last 41 meetings
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington’s last 14 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home
Washington Redskins Betting Preview
With Alex Smith done for the season, the Redskins offense will go with Colt McCoy who was 6 of 12 for 54 and a touchdown in relief of Smith last week. He also added 35 yards rushing yards and I expect he will get some more rushing yards this week. It has been over 5 years since he played substantial time in the NFL so some rust should be expected.
The Redskins will need to get the running game going against the Cowboys who are on of the better teams in run DVOA. Adrian Peterson scored 2 rushing touchdown on just 16 carries but I would expect him to get 20+ rushes this week. Kapri Bibbs will backup Peterson but he is more of a receiving back. I expect Peterson to just carry the load on a short week with a new quarterback and we will see how many rushes that old body has left. If the Skins can keep it close I could see 25+ rushing attempts and 5+ receiving targets.
Rookie Trey Quinn looks like he will be starting again after last weeks 4 receptions for 49 yards and no touchdowns line. Jordan Reed seemed to be the guy for McCoy, seeing a team-high 11 targets and finishing with 7 receptions for 71 yards and a touchdown last week. Josh Doctson should see a heavy workload in terms of snaps and targets as McCoy can use him as a safety blanket to avoid the pass rush.
Redskins Prop Bet Picks
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards over 60.5 (-135)
Adrian Peterson to score a touchdown yes (+130)
Jordan Reed Receiving Yards over 47.5 (+120)
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Dak Prescott was 22/32 with 208 yards and no passing touchdowns or interceptions against a bad Falcons defense. I just don’t have faith in Dak putting up big numbers with the Cowboys more of a run oriented team.
Ezekiel Elliott ran over the Falcons, rushing 23 times for 122 yards and a touchdown while also bringing in seven of his eight targets for 79 yards. The Redskins have been awful on the ground and this sets up as another big game for Elliot.
Amari Cooper had just five targets and three receptions for 36 yards. Cooper wasn’t brought in to get 10 receptions and a 100 receiving yards per game. He is there to force the defenses to play the safety back so Elliot can run the ball. Michael Gallup is questionable as he’s dealing with a tough family issue, but it sounds like he’s going to try and play. The Cowboys have a big hole on offense at tight end. Geoff Swaim broke his wrist and will be out, so Rico Gathers will play. He has a lot of receiving potential but it remains to be seen if he will get the targets.
Cowboys Prop Bet Picks
Dak Prescott Passing Attempts under 31.5 (-110)
Ezekiel Elliot Rushing Yards over 95.5 (-135)
Redskins vs Cowboys Betting Pick & Score Prediction
The Skins are going for the season sweep as they beat the Cowboys 20-17 in Week 7. Brett Maher missed a 52-yard field goal at the end after a penalty was called that moved the kickback from 47. In that game the Skins got 99 yards rushing from Adrian Peterson and Alex Smith was 14 for 25 for 178 yards. Ezekiel Elliott had just 34 yards on 15 carries and Dak Prescott was 22 for 35 for 273 yards, with one TD pass and one TD run. I know Smith is gone but it really isn’t that big of a drop off in talent. Colt McCoy is more likely to take risks in the passing game and that may lead to an interception but it will also force the Cowboys to play the deep pass. The Cowboys defense can be run on and the Skins will do just that. I am not taking the Redskins to win outright but as long as I can get 7 or more points I am on the Redskins.
- Underdog is 31-10 ATS in their last 41 meetings
Redskins vs Cowboys Score Prediction:
Cowboys 24 – Redskins 20
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