Green Bay Packers vs
Player Prop Bet Picks
When: 8:20 PM ET, Thursday, November 15, 2018
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX, NFL Network.
Betting Line: Seahawks -2.5.
I will be using NFL Player Prop Betting Odds from 5Dimes.eu online sportsbook for the Packers. You can read our 5Dimes.eu Sportsbook Reivew here
I also release picks on Twitter @PropBetPicks – This is where I give out my last minutes picks before kickoff.
Green Bay Packers
Prop Bet Preview
This is a tough matchup for Aaron Rodgers against a good pass defense for the Seahawks. The Seahawks will not score a lot and I do not have the Packers forcing an up tempo pace in the game. Green Bay will need to run to slow down the pass rush and last week they showed that they can run the ball effectively I have Rodgers leaning to the under on attempts and completions. Running back Aaron Jones had 15 rushes for 152 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Dolphins. Yes, the Dolphins are not good against the run and I do not expect the same type of performance but, he did show he can control the ball and force the defense to play the run. Another thing to like about Jones is he is a good receiver so the defense can not focus solely on the run when he is in the game. At receiver, the loss of Randall Cobb was supposed to give Marquez Valdes-Scantling a big lift. He was in on over 90% of the offensive snaps. However,it does not look like he has Rodgers trust yet. In the red zone Davante Adams was the target. A receiver I like in a close game is the tight end Jimmy Graham, he should be in a good spot to keep drives alive. Last week the Packers didn’t really need him in a blowout but this week they will if they are going to control the clock.
Packers Prop Bet Picks
- Aaron Rodgers pass completions under 25 (-110)
- Devante .Adams receiving yards over 81½ (-110)
Prop Bet Preview
Russell Wilson has thrown for 2 touchdowns or more in eight of his nine games this season. Last week he showed why he is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL rushing for 92 yards. Seattle needs Wilson to run the ball and keep drives alive if the Seahawks are going to make the playoffs. I suggest you take a look at our quarterback prop betting results for Wilson. In particular take a look at how well he has done on rushing prop bets at home. In the 2017 & 2018 season he has gone over the total on rushing yards in 8 of 10 games. Like the over here. Wilson may be listed at quarterback but he may get more rushing attempts than some of the running backs. There is just too much sharing going on in the Seattle backfield for me to feel comfortable that any running back will have a big game this week. I expect one of them to have over 75 yards rushing but I will not bet on which one. At receiver, the Seahawks do not throw a lot so targets are at a premium. Tyler Lockett leads the team in receptions with 33 and in receiving touchdowns with 7. However, last week he lead the team with only 6 targets so one drop could really diminish his yardage total. Baldwin plays a lot of minutes but seems to disappear too much to depended on. At tight end I would only consider Nick Vannett because it looks like he has the trust of Wilson and will get targets in a close game like tonights.
I am waiting on the odds to be released on Russell Wilson rushing yardage and as soon as they are I will make my picks.