Green Bay at New England
Player Prop Betting Preview
When: 8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 4, 2018
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
Betting Line: Patriots -5.5.
Green Bay Packers
Prop Bet Preview
Last week Aaron Rodgers had just one touchdown pass against the Rams. His receivers are not healthy with Geronimo Allen, Randall Cobb, Equanimeous St. Brown and Jimmy Graham all limited in practice during the week. However, I have the Patriots scoring so Rodgers will have to throw the ball to anyone who can play. Running back Ty Montgomery was traded and that will help Aaron Jones, who had 86 yards on 12 carries last week against the Rams. The Patriots have been good against the run and I still expect the Packers to need to throw to stay in the game so I do not expect a big rushing day for Jones this week. At receiver, Davante Adams is a top option if for no other reason he will be getting a lot of targets. Another one I like to get good yardage is Jimmy Graham. He will be needed to keep drives alive with his receiving skills.
Packers Prop Bet Picks
Total Receiving Yards – Davante Adams (GB) over 92.5 (-125)
Total Receiving Yards – Jimmy Graham (GB) over 48.5 (-120)
Total Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers (GB) over 310 (-120)
Total Passing Attempts In The Game – Aaron Rodgers (GB) 40.5 (-115)
Total Rushing Yards – Aaron Jones (GB) under 59.5 (-105)
New England Patriots
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Tom Brady has several of his receivers banged up (Gronk, Gordon, Michel, Edelman) but, the Packers are not that good against the pass and Brady will throw the ball to anyone on the roster. I don’t see the Pats passing less but I do think they will spread the ball around more. One big question is at running back with Sony Michel. He didn’t play last week and was replaced by Cordarelle Patterson as a running back. Patterson had 10 carries for 38 yards. If Michel does play, the Packers are terrible against the run and he would be a good bet to get 75+ yards. A tip on prop betting. If he does not play at all then there is no action and my bet will be refunded. If Michel does not play then I really like James White to get his yardage as a receiver as the Pats will use the short passing game as a running game. Last week Julian Edelman had 10 targets and over 100 yards against the Bills. A sleeper here is Chris Hogan. If Rob Gronkowski does not play then I like Hogan to get several of his targets and he is a good bet to go over 70 yards (If Gronk does not play).
Patriots Prop Bet Picks
Total Completions – Tom Brady (NE) over 25.0 (-125)
Total Passing Yards – Tom Brady (NE) over 308.5 (-130)
Total Receiving Yards – Chris Hogan (NE) over 39.5 (-115)
Total Receiving Yards – James White (NE) over 57.5 (-120)