Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick

Chargers vs Chiefs Betting Pick &
Prop Bet Predictions 12-16-17

When: 8:25 PM ET, Saturday, December 16, 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Betting Line: Chargers -1
Total: 46

Chargers vs Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers are playing for first place in the AFC West in Kansas City on Saturday night. The Chiefs beat the Chargers 24-10 in Los Angeles en route to a 5-0 start during which they looked like the NFL’s best team, but then they lost six of seven games and opened up the AFC West Division title hopes to the Chargers. Last week the Chiefs won 26-15 against division foe the Oakland Raiders while the Chargers were beating the Redskins 30-13. The Chargers are back in the playoff picture by winning four straight and seven of nine following an 0-4 start. The Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) quarterback Philip Rivers has passed for 337 yards per game with eight touchdowns and no interceptions over the last four games. What hasn’t gotten as much recognition is the Chargers defense ranks second in scoring defense and third against the pass, but they can be run on. The Kansas City Chiefs (7-6) will need rookie running back Kareem Hunt to get back on track. Last week against the Oakland Raiders he had 116 rushing yards. Quarterback Alex Smith has been hot and cold this season so it is imperative that Hunt get in the groove early in the game. Surprisingly, the Kansas City defense has been weak this season and only ranks 30th against the run and 28th versus the pass.

Chargers vs Chiefs Betting Trends

Los Angeles Chargers

LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers’s last 8 games
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers’s last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
LA Chargers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers’s last 7 games when playing Kansas City
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Kansas City’s last 18 games at home
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers

Chargers vs Chiefs Prop Betting Preview

Los Angeles Chargers

Over his last three games Phillips Rivers has put up the following numbers: 76 completions on 107 attempts (71% completions) for 1,097 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. At running back Melvin Gordon has at least 20 total touches in five straight games. Now he faces a Chiefs team that has struggled against the run for much of the season. At receiver the increased production from Philip Rivers has helped Keenan Allen who has four straight 100+ yard receiving games and scored four touchdowns in those games. Wide receiver Tyrell Williams has big play upside but is really hit or miss in this game. At tight end Hunter Henry has good upside on the number of receptions. Overall, the Chiefs defense has not been that good this year and this is a good matchup for the hot Chargers offense.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith missed a couple touchdowns of easy touchdown passes and finished with zero for the game. However, he still had a decent yardage day. At running backs Kareem Hunt logged 25 carries last week and should see as many touches this week. The Los Angeles Chargers are much more vulnerable on the ground than against the pass as they rank sixth in DVOA against the pass, and 26th DVOA against the run. Hunt should see a lot of early runs and short passes from Alex Smith. At tight end Travis Kelce had 13 targets last week against the Raiders. This fits in with the Chiefs run and short passing game philosophy of late. With the Chiefs likely struggle to throw outside against a good Charger secondary, I can see Kelce getting 10+ targets in this game. Tyreek Hill has big play ability but the Chargers pass rush combined with check down Alex Smith at quarterback should negate the big plays so I do not see him getting many receptions today.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Predictions

The Los Angeles Chargers are road favorites and that is a complete turnaround from how the season started. The Chargers are the sleeper pick in the AFC to make it to the Super Bowl behind the Steelers and Patriots. I like them here up to -2.5 points. I also like both teams to be able to keep drives alive by running the ball and both teams should reach the 20 point mark so I also lean to the over but I am only betting the side.

Betting Pick: Chargers -1
Score Prediction: Chargers 27 – Chiefs 23

Chargers vs Chiefs Player Prop Bet Picks & Odds

Total Receiving Yards – Tyrell Williams (LAC) 34½ -115 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Keenan Allen (LAC) 87½ -135 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Travis Kelce (KC) 65½ -125 Over
Total Receptions – Travis Kelce (KC) 5½ -105 Over
Total Rushing Yards – Melvin Gordon (LAC) 75½ -125 Over
Total Rushing Yards – Kareem Hunt (KC) 75½ -125 Over
Total Passing Yards – Philip Rivers (LAC) 275½ -125 Over
Total Passing Attempts in the game – Alex Smith (KC) 33½ -125 Over
Total Completions – Alex Smith (KC) 21 -125 Over

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