Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Pick

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons
NFL Player Prop Bet Picks 12-31-17

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: FOX
See Live NFL Game & Prop Bet Odds for Every Game here
Betting Line: Atlanta -4
Total: 45

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons
Game Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons can clinch a playoff berth with a win or a Seattle loss, but the Carolina Panthers need a road win to retain their hopes of an NFC South title.

Atlanta was knocked out of contention for the division title with a 23-13 loss at New Orleans last week, while Carolina kept alive its hopes of a division crown when Cam Newton’s rushing touchdown with 35 seconds left lifted the Panthers to a 22-19 win over Tampa Bay. The Panthers have won seven of their last eight. Carolina (11-4) ranks fourth in rushing offense and sixth in run defense. The Falcons (9-6) managed only 331 total yards in last week’s loss at New Orleans. Receiver Julio Jones is battling ankle and thumb injuries and he may not be the go to guy in this game. The Falcons defense has held three straight opponents and four of the last five under 100 rushing yards.

Carolina vs Atlanta Betting Trends

Carolina

Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Panthers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Panthers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC South.

Atlanta

Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Atlanta.

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons
Player Prop Betting Preview

Carolina Panthers

Both teams should play to win. Cam Newton has had 28 rushing attempts in the last two games and there is no reason to think that the Panthers will stop doing what is working. Cam looks to have a lot of upside on rushing prop bets. Greg Olsen looks as healthy as he has all year, and he should get plenty of targets. Between Christian McCaffrey and Devin Funchess I am looking for McCaffrey to more of the targets.

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons win and they are in but if they lose they can still get in with a Seattle loss. Since even if this does happen it will not be known till late in the game, expect all of the starters to play the whole game. Yes, the Falcons are motivated. But, haven’t they been motivated all season? Julio Jones has just three touchdowns this year so why would I expect him to suddenly be a top receiver? Devonta Freeman has shown limited upside when Tevin Coleman has been active because of split touches. I know there is a lot of fantasy love for Matt Ryan. I don’t have any prop bet love for him. The Falcons still have the same problems they have had all year and the Carolina defense is playing better now than they have all season.

Here are the season targets, receptions, TDs and yards for the players most likely to have prop bet action available.

Rec. StatsTargetsReceptionsTDsYards Rec. StatsTargetsReceptionsTDsYards
Funchess106617792 Jones1378331,364
Byrd17102105 Sanu85605632
Shepard33171202 Gabriel50331378
Olsen29161181 Hooper62463491

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Game Prediction

The Falcons are 4 point favorites in this game in large part because of home field advantage and a need to win to get into the playoffs. As far as I am concerned, the Falcons are the NFC version of the Oakland Raiders. Last year everything went right and it masked over problems on the team. The Atlanta offensive line is not that good and the Falcons receivers drop to many passes to keep drives alive. In this game I like the Panthers more physical play on both the offensive and defensive line to get the cover. While I have them winning the game I am only betting on them and taking the points.

Betting Pick: Panthers +4

Score Prediction: Carolina 27 – Atlanta 23

Panthers vs Falcons Player Prop Bet Picks

Total Receiving Yards – Greg Olsen (CAR) 47½ -115 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Devin Funchess (CAR) 54½ -115 Under
Total Receiving Yards – Mohamed Sanu (ATL) 44½ -115 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Julio Jones (ATL) 92½ -115 Under
Total Receptions – Mohamed Sanu (ATL) 4 -130 Over
Total Rushing Yards – Cam Newton (CAR) 47½ -115 Over
Total Rushing Yards – Devonta Freeman (ATL) 65½ -115 Over
Total Rushing and Receiving Yards – Christian McCaffrey (CAR) 67½ -115 Over
Total Passing Yards – Matt Ryan (ATL) 257½ -115 Under
Total Interceptions Thrown – Matt Ryan (ATL) ½ -130 Over
See Live NFL Game & Prop Bet Odds for Every Game here
 

Bovada NFL Prop Bet Odds
Panthers vs Falcons

[table id=87 /]