Redskins vs Cowboys
Game & Player Prop Bet Picks
When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, November 30, 2017
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NBC.
Bovada Betting Lin: Cowboys -1
Redskins vs Cowboys Betting Preview
The Dallas Cowboys are a decidedly different team than the one that coasted to a 33-19 win against the Washington Redskins last month, especially considering Ezekiel Elliott rolled up a season-high 150 rushing yards and two touchdowns in that outing. With Elliott suspended, the Cowboys’ overall offense hasn’t been as potent and mustered just 22 points during the team’s three-game losing skid heading into Thursday’s contest versus the visiting Redskins.
The Cowboys are averaging a solid 4.4 yards per carry in Elliott’s absence, but that’s just noise to Alfred Morris as he prepares to face his former team. In a 20-10 win over the sputtering New York Giants on Thanksgiving. Kirk Cousins (NFL second-best 3,038 yards), who tossed a pair of touchdown passes against the Giants, has thrown for 625 passing yards, six TDs and no interceptions in his last two encounters with the Cowboys.
Redskins Preview (5-6):
Kirk Cousins has 566 passing yards and five touchdowns over the last two weeks. There is no reason for him to slow down against a Cowboys defense that the Chargers shredded a week ago.
Not only has Cousins looked good, rookie running back Samaje Perine has 217 rushing yards in his last two games, and a season-best 130 scrimmage yards (100 rushing, 30 receiving) last week. He played on over 70% of the snaps, and should see a lot of touches both running and receiving for the remainder of the season.
At receiver Jamison Crowder broke out with a huge game on Thanksgiving and is locked in as a top receiving option for the Redskins. Josh Doctson played on every single snap against the Giants and caught a late touchdown. That is important because he will continue to get the targets as is a good red zone option.
The Redskins defense ranks 24th in DVOA against tight ends so Vernon Davis (If Jordan Reed remains out, which is to be expected at this point) will definately be in play for receptions and yardage but he is not as much of a touchdown threat.
Dallas Cowboys Preview (5-6):
Dak Prescott and the Dallas passing game have taken a hit with the threat of Elliott removed from the offense. Prescott has five interceptions in his last two games to eclipse his total of four during his rookie season in 2016. The Cowboys offense has fallen apart and there is no reason for it to pick up this week. I have the Redskins able to move the ball so Dak will need to throw more than the Cowboys want which is good for the over on pass attempts.
The Dallas running back situation is a mess. Alfred Morris has played on less than 40% of the snaps in every game since Ezekiel Elliott got suspended, but Dallas has been playing from behind a lot. Dallas did rush for 169 yards as a team in the first meeting between these teams, but this is not the same Dallas team.
Dez Bryant has been a bust and has barely caught 50% of the targets that have come his way. He is old, slow and injured. I can’t emphasize enough that when a big receiver starts to get old the decline is rapid. For me, the opportunity is there to bet against his rep. Cole Beasley might be a decent value target in this game and he will get the better matchup so he has the upside potential.
Washington ranks 23rd in DVOA against tight ends so Jason Witten could be the guy that has the big game in the Dallas passing game. I like him for both yards and in the red zone.
Washington vs Dallas Betting Trends
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington’s last 8 games
Washington is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington’s last 10 games on the road
Washington is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Washington is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’s last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 6 games when playing Washington
Redskins vs Cowboys Bovada
NFL Player Prop Bet Odds
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Washington vs Dallas Game & Prop Bet Predictions
The Cowboys season has gone down with Elliot getting suspended. It may have been better for the Cowboys if he had never appealed and sat out the first part of the season and would be back now for a playoff run. The Cowboys offense can not keep up with the Redskins offense. Going to go with the road team to win and cover.
Washington vs Dallas Betting Pick: Washington +1
Score Prediction: Redskins 27 – Cowboys 17
Redskins vs Cowboys Prop Bet Picks
Total Receiving Yards – Vernon Davis (WAS) 49½ -125 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Jamison Crowder (WAS) 70½ -130 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Jason Witten (DAL) 39½ -115 Over
Total Receptions – Vernon Davis (WAS) 4 -115 Over
Total Receptions – Jamison Crowder (WAS) 5½ -115 Over
Total Receptions – Jason Witten (DAL) 4 -115 Over
Total Receptions – Dez Bryant WR (DAL) 5 -130 Under
Total Rushing Yards – Alfred Morris (DAL) 60½ -105 Under
Total Passing Yards – Kirk Cousins (WAS) 275½ -125 Over
Total Interceptions Thrown – Dak Prescott (DAL) ½ -125 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Cole Beasley (DAL) 19½ -115 Over