Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prop Bet Picks 11-27-17
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, November 27, 2017
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Betting Line: Ravens -7
Texans vs Ravens Betting Preview
Entering the weekend in possession of the final playoff slot in the AFC, the Baltimore Ravens will face one of the teams trying to overtake them when they host the Houston Texans on Monday night. Baltimore moved back to the .500 mark last week with a 23-0 win at Green Bay. Baltimore has won nine straight prime time games. Texans quarterback Tom Savage, benched after Week 1 before replacing an injured Deshaun Watson prior to Week 9, earned his first victory of the season in last week’s 31-21 win over Arizona. The Houston Texans (4-6) quarterback Tom Savage is coming off his best outing of the season, throwing for 230 yards and a pair of scores against Arizona. The Baltimore Ravens (5-5) managed only 219 yards of total offense in defeating Green Bay and the Ravens have the league’s worst passing attack with an average of 165.2 yards per game. Quarterback Joe Flacco has thrown more interceptions (11) than touchdown passes (nine). How are the Ravens winning? They are yielding 17.1 points per game.
Texans vs Ravens Prop Betting Preview
Quarterback Tom Savage has not cleared 230 passing yards in any of his starts, and he has just four touchdowns to three interceptions so far. In a road matchup against a Ravens defense that is allowing just 192 passing yards per game and owns a league-leading 16 interceptions, Savage is not going to be let loose to put up big numbers. I don’t even like him for slop numbers in a blowout. At running back the Ravens have been more vulnerable on the ground this year, allowing over 120 yards per game to opposing rushing attacks. However, a lot of that production came when run-stuffing defensive tackle Brandon Williams was injured. Lamar Miller continues to get more touches and will be involved in both the running and passing game this week. Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins managed to get 76 receiving yards and a score against Patrick Peterson last week. He will get his targets no matter what the score. Bruce Ellington will be a good play if Will Fuller is out again. The Texans will have trouble scoring but a close game will let them keep it a balanced offense and plenty of touches for Hopkins & Miller.
Joe Flacco has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns this year and does not have a single 300+ yard passing game. Running back Alex Collins had 20 carries last week against the Packers but he managed only 49 yards rushing. Collins played on 64% of the offensive snaps and appears to be the favorite for early down work going forward. There is a spot where some good yardage can be picked up this week and that is the Houston pass defense. It has deteriorated since they lost their top pass rusher in J.J. Watt, and they allowed Blaine Gabbert to rack up 257 yards and three touchdowns last week. The issue is that Joe Flacco has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league this year. They have only had one 100+ yard receiving game from any individual receiver this year (Mike Wallace against the Raiders).
Texans vs Ravens Game & Prop Betting Picks
This game is not going to get ratings and if it wasn’t for betting there would be no reason to televise it. The best unit on the field is the Ravens defense and that should be enough for them to win the game but I don’t have them covering the game. The pace should be slow and close and that will allow the Texans to hang around for a close loss.
Texans vs Ravens Game Pick: Texans +7
Ravens 20 – Texans 17
Texans vs Ravens Prop Betting Picks
Total Receiving Yards – Lamar Miller (HOU) 19½ -115 Over
Total Receiving Yards – DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) 70½ -105 Under
Total Receiving Yards – Jeremy Maclin (BAL) 54½ -115 Over
Total Receiving Yards – Benjamin Watson (BAL) 32½ -125 Under
Total Rushing Yards – Lamar Miller (HOU) 67½ -115 Under
Total Passing Yards – Joe Flacco (BAL) 235½ -125 Over
Total Passing Attempts in the game – Tom Savage (HOU) 32½ -115 Under
Total Completions – Joe Flacco (BAL) 20½ -105 Under
Bovada Prop Betting Odds
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