#5 Oklahoma vs #11 Oklahoma State
11-04-17 Betting Pick
When: 4:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 4, 2017
Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Betting Line: Oklahoma State -2.5
Both teams enter as part of a four-way tie for first place in the Big 12 and are also in the running for a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff. The Sooners are rated No. 5 in its first weekly poll released on Tuesday while the Cowboys rank No. 11. Then there’s quarterbacks Baker Mayfield of Oklahoma and Mason Rudolph of Oklahoma State, both of whom rank at or near the top of most key NCAA passing stats and could take a big step forward in the Heisman Trophy race
Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1 Big 12) will be lead by quarterback Mayfield who finished third in Heisman voting in 2016 and ranks eighth in the NCAA in passing with 2,628 yards while also leading all Power 5 conference quarterbacks in passing efficiency (195.6), averaging an NCAA-best 11.1 yards per completion. However, the Sooners defense is the big question as they have allowed 35 or more points in three of its last five games and ranks 100th nationally in pass efficiency defense (141.4).
Oklahoma State (7-1, 4-1) quarterback Rudolph leads the nation in passing yards (2,866) and passing yards per game (358.3) while throwing 22 touchdown passes to five interceptions. He has a a potential first round NFL pick to throw to in senior wide receiver James Washington who is second in the FBS with an average of 125.6 receiving yards per game while sophomore running back Justice Hill leads the Big 12 in rushing with 836 yards and has scored eight touchdowns. The Oklahoma defense has done better than OU and has allowed just six passing touchdowns while picking off a Big 12-leading 12 passes, is led by safeties Ramon Richards, who had the game-winning interception in overtime in a 13-10 win at Texas, and Tre Flowers, who has 242 career tackles and is second in the Big 12 with nine passes defended.
OU vs OSU Betting Prediction
This game is one to watch even if I don’t have action on it but I will be laying my money down. I like Mayfield and he will battle all game long and this game will not be decided until the fourth quarter. However, this is Oklahoma States year. Both teams can score so both are never going to be really out of the game but the better defense belongs to Oklahoma State and in the fourth quarter that will be the difference.
The key to betting on this game is the 2.5 point line. As long as I can get 2.5 or less I am on OSU but if it goes to three points then I am not betting. This is one of those games that it pays to have several online sportsbook accounts so I can line shop. I would rather bet OSU at -2.5 (-120) than at -3 so shop those lines.