Super Bowl 52 Prop Bet Picks Team – Defense – Special Teams

Super Bowl 52 Prop Bet Picks Team – Defense – Special Teams

Super Bowl 52 Team Prop Betting Predictions

The team prop bet picks are not based on a player but how well a team or how well both teams combined will do. The two charts below are the 2017 NFL season matchup statistics. I have the ones that I find relevant to making prop bets during the season. They are arranged with one teams offense vs another teams defense.

The first chart has the Philadelphia Eagles Offense vs the New England Patriot Defense. The first line reading from left to right.

Points Per Game:

PHI Off: The average points scored by the Eagles in all games.

PHI Home: The average number of points scored in just Eagles home games.

PHI Away: The average number of points scored in just Eagles away games.

NE Def: The average points surrendered by the Patriots defense in all games.

NE Home: The average number of points surrendered in just Patriots home games.

NE Away: The average number of points surrendered in just Patriots away games.

The second chart is the same format with the Patriots offense vs the Eagles defense.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense vs New England Patriots Defense

wdt_ID Super Bowl Stat Preview PHI Off PHI Home PHI Away NE Def NE Home NE Away
1 Points Per Game Avg 28.3 28.2 28.5 18.3 20.1 16.1
2 Red Zone Score TD% 65.0 70.0 60.0 48.1 48.2 48.0
3 1st qtr scoring 6.3 6.2 6.4 3.8 4.0 3.6
4 2nd qtr scoring 8.0 9.5 6.1 6.2 6.5 5.9
5 3rd qtr scoring 6.5 6.0 7.1 3.0 2.6 3.5
6 4th qtr scoring 7.6 6.5 8.9 5.3 7.0 3.1
7 Touchdowns Per Game 3.3 3.4 3.1 2.1 2.3 1.8
8 1st Downs Per Game 21.5 20.7 22.5 20.1 19.7 20.6
9 Time of Poss Game 32.4 32.3 33.0 29.3 28.3 30.6
10 3rd Down Con % 43.6 40.7 46.7 39.1 34.2 44.4
Super Bowl Stat Preview PHI Off PHI Home PHI Away NE Def NE Home NE Away

New England Patriots Offense vs Philadelphia Eagles Defense

wdt_ID Super Bowl Stat Preview NE Off NE Home NE Away PHI Def PHI Home PHI Away
1 Points Per Game Avg 28.7 29.4 27.9 17.3 12.4 23.5
2 Red Zone Score TD% 63.3 68.9 55.9 50.0 38.1 60.9
3 1st qtr scoring 5.3 5.1 6.8 3.2 1.6 5.2
4 2nd qtr scoring 11.5 13.1 9.5 4.9 3.4 6.8
5 3rd qtr scoring 5.7 5.0 6.6 3.5 2.0 5.4
6 4th qtr scoring 6.2 7.2 5.0 5.7 5.4 6.1
7 Touchdowns Per Game 3.2 3.4 2.9 2.0 1.4 2.8
8 1st Downs Per Game 24.6 25.6 23.2 17.4 16.2 18.9
9 Time of Poss Game 30.3 31.3 29.0 27.2 27.3 26.6
10 3rd Down Con % 41.6 44.0 37.8 32.9 29.0 38.0
Super Bowl Stat Preview NE Off NE Home NE Away PHI Def PHI Home PHI Away

Super Bowl 52 Eagles vs Patriots Touchdowns Prop Bet Picks

This prop bet is for combined touchdowns by the Eagles and the Patriots. The odds are from Bovada sportsbook. I blended my bets on this one and divided my money with 50% on each to the over.

50% on Total Touchdowns Over 6½ (+230)
50% on Total Touchdowns Over 5½ (+115)

Exact number of Touchdowns in the game
This is another combined bet for both teams and I made three wagers. With the lowest return at +350. If I am right on any of these I will make a profit on the this bet.
33% on 5 touchdowns combined at +350
33% on 6 touchdowns combined at +400
33% on 7 touchdowns combined at +600

This bet is just on the Patriots total touchdowns and I took a straight bet on the over.
Total Touchdowns – New England Patriots Over 3 (-125)

I did not take a bet on the Eagles total touchdowns.

Super Bowl 52 Eagles vs Patriots Field Goal Prop Bet Picks

 

The field goal bet I have is on combined field goals for both teams. If the bet is a tie then there is no action and the wager is refunded. I didn’t make as many field goals bets as last year because the line that Bovada falls right on the number I have for both teams in the game.

My field goals bet.
How many successful 3 point Field Goals will be kicked in the game?
50% on 3 field goals +250
50% on 4 field goals +333

Super Bowl 52 Eagles vs Patriots Sacks Prop Bet Picks

The sacks in this game will be related to how well each team can run the ball and I have both defenses controlling the running game. With Carson Wentz out, I expect the Patriots to be more aggressive rushing the less mobile Nick Foles and to get to him a few times. When the Eagles are on defense they will be able to get to Brady. However, the Eagles can be beat deep and Brady will hang in there to get a few deep completions. In doing that he will also get sacked more than the regular season.

Three bets on defensive sacks.
Total QB Sacks combined 4.5 over (-140)
Total QB Sacks by the Philadelphia Eagles 2.5 over (105)
Total QB Sacks by the New England Patriots 2.5 over (100)

Super Bowl 52 Eagles vs Patriots Turnovers & Penalties Prop Bet Picks

Both teams should have a good pass rush and be able to get to the quarterback for a few sacks and cause at least 2 interceptions.
The first turnover of the game will be? An Interception at (-130)
Total Turnovers by Philadelphia Eagles over 1.5 at (145)

Two teams that do not get a lot of penalties combined with the tradition of referees giving a lot of leniency on offensive line holding should keep down the penalties for both teams.
Total Number of Penalties Assessed on the Philadelphia Eagles under 6.5 at (-115)
Total Number of Penalties Assessed on the New England Patriots under 5.5 at (-130)

Super Bowl 52 Eagles vs Patriots Scoring Prop Bet Picks

Margin of Victory
There are two bets I like and once again if either is right I will make a profit.
Patriots by 1-6 points +300
Patriots by 7-12 points +400

Total points scored
I have the game going higher than many of the experts. In fact, there is a lot of money coming in on the under and that has helped me get better odds.

50% Combined point total 48.5 over (-105)
25% Combined point total 52.5 over (145)
15% Combined point total 54.5 over (175)
10% Combined point total 56.5 over (215)

Which Will be the Highest Scoring Quarter?
50% 2nd quarter at (175)
50% 4th quarter at (175)

First Scoring Play
Field Goal or Safety (120)

Check back for more picks right up until kickoff!