Carolina Panther vs New Orleans Saints
NFL Wild Card Game & Prop Bet Picks
When: 4:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 7, 2018
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Betting Line: Saints -7
Carolina vs New Orleans Game & Prop Bet Preview
The Carolina (11-5) Panther’s offense has been fairly one-dimensional with Cam Newton (754 yards), Jonathan Stewart (680) and Christian McCaffrey (435) leading the league’s fourth-best rushing game. Newton has only thrown for more than 300 yards twice all season.The defense ranks third in the league in sacks, with Mario Addison and Julius Peppers leading the way with 11 apiece. The Saints (11-5) owns the league’s No. 2 offense, and it’s more balanced than in years past thanks to the rushing duo of Mark Ingram and rookie Alvin Kamara. The two times they played this season the Saints were able to run against Carolina’s third-ranked run defense, gaining 148 and 149 yards in the two games. New Orleans’ defense turned in two of its best performances of the season against the Panthers, holding them under 300 total yards in both games.
Note: Below we have all of the player prop bet odds and results for the two previous matchups.
Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints
Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina’s last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina’s last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans’s last 21 games at home
New Orleans is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans’s last 7 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans’s last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers 2017 Prop Bet Results
Cam Newton 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Cam Newton prop betting overall results mask some extreme splits. For the season over prop bets finished (39-41-1). However, a breakdown of his propositions results shows how you needed to bet to make money off of him. Here are his 2017 results based on over bets; pass attempts (2-1), completions (6-8-1), passing yards (4-12), touchdowns (6-10), interceptions (9-7) and rushing yards (12-3). If you just bet the over on rushing yards and the under on passing yards Cam Newton would have been very profitable.
Ed Dickson 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. For the season Ed Dickson only had odds offered for two games. He finished (1-1) to the over on both receptions and pass receiving yards.
Jonathan Stewart 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Jonathan Stewart was a money loser for over bettors. On rushing yardage prop bets he went (5-9) for the season.
Greg Olsen 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Greg Olsen was a big money maker for under bettors. He had odds offered five times this season and the over on receptions went (0-5) and the over on receiving yards went (0-5).
Devin Funches 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Devin Funches started off good to over bettors but he ended the season favoring the under. Betting the over on Funches; receptions (4-7-1) and receiving yards (4-8). He really tailed off at the end of the season and he finished his last five games (0-5) to the over on both receptions and yards.
Christian McCaffrey 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Christian McCaffrey was a heavy under play in 2017. Overall the over only covered less than one third of the time (11-25-2). The breakdown on prop betting to the over; rushing yards (0-2), receptions (5-5-2), receiving yards (3-10), and on combined rushing & receiving yards he was (3-8) on over wagers.
New Orleans Saints 2017 Prop Bet Results
Drew Brees 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Drew Brees numbers prop bet numbers show that the public has not caught up to the changes in the New Orleans Saints offense. For the season the over was (30-50-4). Here is the breakdown of over bets; attempts (1-5), completions (6-9-1), passing yards (6-10), touchdowns (4-9-3), interceptions (6-10), and rushing yards (7-7).
Ted Ginn Jr 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Ted Ginn Jr was a sportsbooks dream. He finished at a .500 cover rate on the over. Receptions were (6-5) to the over and receiving yards were (5-6) on over bets.
Michael Thomas 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Michael Thomas was a good for over bets as he cashed (19-12-1) overall. The breakdown receptions (9-6-1) and on receiving yards (10-6).
Alvin Kamara 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Kamara’s prop betting results show how he was used by the Saints this season. His overall over betting numbers were (11-6-1). But, the breakdown is telling on his over bets; rushing (0-2), receptions (4-1-1) receiving yards (4-0) and combined rushing & receiving (3-3). If you had just bet the over as a receiver you would have cashed at (8-1-1).
Mark Ingram 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Mark Ingram had some decisive prop bet splits. His overall over betting was (12-14). However, rushing went (9-3), receptions (3-3), receiving yards (0-7) and combined rushing & receiving yards (0-1). You would have made good money betting the over on rushing and the under on receiving this season.
Panthers vs Saints Head to Head Prop Bets
These are the player prop bet odds and results of the two previous games this season.
Carolina vs New Orleans Previous Games
|9||Passing Yards||Cam Newton||CAR||Home||252.5||-115||Over||167||-85.5||nfl0317|
|10||Passing Yards||Cam Newton||CAR||Home||252.5||-115||Under||167||85.5||Win||nfl0317|
Carolina vs New Orleans Betting Predictions
The Saints put up over 30 points in both of the two games these two teams played against each other earlier this season. In the first game the Saints won 34-13 in Carolina and then they won 31-24 at home. The New Orleans offense matches up well with the Panthers and they should be able to score over 30 again. The Panthers offense just will not go anywhere as long as Cam Newton is as inaccurate as he has been this season. This one has blowout written all over it and I am taking the Saints as long as the odds are -7 or less.
Saints 34 – Panthers 16
Panthers vs Saints Prop Bet Picks
Prop Bet Odds & Predictions
|1||Receiving Yards||Greg Olsen||CAR||45½||-125||Over|
|2||Receiving Yards||Greg Olsen||CAR||45½||-105||Under||Under|
|3||Receiving Yards||Devin Funchess||CAR||50½||-125||Over|
|4||Receiving Yards||Devin Funchess||CAR||50½||-105||Under||Under|
|5||Receiving Yards||Christian McCaffrey||CAR||37½||-130||Over|
|6||Receiving Yards||Christian McCaffrey||CAR||37½||100||Under|
|7||Receiving Yards||Ted Ginn Jr.||NO||42½||-115||Over||Over|
|8||Receiving Yards||Ted Ginn Jr.||NO||42½||-115||Under|
|9||Receiving Yards||Michael Thomas||NO||82½||-125||Over||Over|
|10||Receiving Yards||Michael Thomas||NO||82½||-105||Under|