Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles NFC Championship Prop Betting Picks

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles
NFC Championship Prop Betting Picks

When: 6:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 21, 2018
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Betting Line: Eagles +3
Total: 38.5 points

What you will find here that you will not find anywhere else. We tracked nearly 6,000 player prop bets offered by Bovada sportsbook on the 2017 NFL season. We have odds, lines, results on every player prop bet offered on the Patriots and Jaguars players. Take the time to check them out before your daily fantasy sportsbook draft or before you make a player prop bet.
Think you know who will win? Bet the game today from home and get a 50% Welcome Bonus from the #1 Sportsbook in the USA.
Sign up with Bovada today.

If you are viewing on an AMP page you will not be able to see all of the charts and graphs. Please use mobile or desktop url to see them.  Mobile/Desktop redirect

Field Goals – Red Zone Offense & Defense

Because I started out prop betting in Las Vegas casinos. I began looking at field goals because they were always listed on parlay cards for Sunday & Monday night games. I found they were one of the easiest prop bets to win. The key on field goals made is to have an offense gain enough yards to get in field goal position and not be able to score a touchdown. That lead me to taking a serious look at red zone offense & defense.

The Eagles overall offensive stats of course include the games with Carson Wentz at quarterback. In the red zone the Eagles scored on 63.79% of their drives which ranked 2nd in the NFL. At home the Eagles ranked 3rd and scored on 67.86% of red zone drives. The Vikings overall scored on 58.33% of red zone drives and on the road they scored on 58.62% of drives. Where the Vikings excelled was on red zone defense. The Vikings ranked #2 overall and gave up a touchdown on just 43.18% of red zone drives by the opposing offense. On the road they were the 5th ranked team at 42.86%. The Eagles overall allowed opposing offenses to score on 53.66% of red zone drives and at home they allowed touchdowns on only 44.44%.

When if comes to field goals, the Vikings kicked an average of 2.1 field goals per game and on the road they kicked an average of 1.9 per game. The Eagles offense kicked an average of 1.9 field goals per game and at home they had 1.7 per game. How did these two teams do against opposing teams on field goals? The Vikings allowed an average of 1.6 field goals per game overall and 1.9 per game on road games. The Eagles allowed 1.2 field goals per game overall which ranked 2nd in the NFL and they alowed 1.0 field goal per game at home which also ranked 2nd in the NFL.

In the four games started by Nick Foles, the Eagles are 7 of 8 on field goal attempts. Against a good Atlanta defense, the Eagles were 3 of 3 on field goals and only scored a total of 15 points.

Scoring by Quarter & Live Betting

Another popular prop bet is scoring by quarters or by half. That has also evolved into who will score first and what type of score will happen first. Before making one of these prop bets we need to look at scoring by quarter on both offense and opponent offensive scoring. This is also vital to “live betting” or “in game betting”. If you have never done this before at least give it a look here. The live lines will be up about 5 minutes before kickoff and the lines will be updated every play. Not only will “in game lines” be available for the game. They will also be available for the next drive, the next play and there will be player prop bets available during the game. Yes, you can still bet on how well Nick Foles will do midway into the second quarter. This is something that professional gamblers take advantage of. Wait and see the game plan and how well the offensive line will hold up BEFORE making your prop bet on Tom Brady. Again, if you have never done this take a look at “in game betting on Bovada”. For those of you not familiar with Bovada it is the number one rated online sportsbook for USA customers.

Vikings vs Eagles Scoring by Quarter

wdt_ID Scoring by Quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total
1 Overall - Offense
2 Vikings 5.1 8.2 4.9 5.9 24.1
3 Eagles 6.2 7.5 6.5 7.6 27.8
4 Combined 11.3 15.7 11.4 13.5 51.9
5 Home/Away - Offense
6 Vikings 5.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 23.0
7 Eagles 6.1 8.7 5.9 6.4 27.1
8 Combined 11.1 15.7 11.9 11.4 50.1
9 Overall - Defense
10 Vikings 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 16.2
11 Eagles 3.0 5.2 3.7 6.1 18.0
12 Combined 6.0 9.1 8.2 10.9 34.2
13 Home/Away - Defense
14 Vikings 4.4 5.1 4.8 4.8 19.1
15 Eagles 1.0 3.8 2.2 6.0 13.0
16 Combined 5.4 8.9 7.0 10.8 32.1
Scoring by Quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total

Sacks Per Game – Offense / Defense

On offense, the Vikings gave up an average of 1.7 sacks per game and the Eagles gave up an average of 2.2 sacks per game. The home/away splits had the Vikings giving up more sacks on the road at an average of 2.5 per game and the Eagles giving up slightly less at home in 2.1 sacks per game. On defense, the Vikings finished 19th in the NFL with an average of 2.3 defensive sacks per game and the Eagles were about the same with 2.4 sacks per game. The home / road splits had both teams doing better in the situation they will find themselves in on Sunday. On the road the Vikings averaged 1.6 sacks per game and at home the Eagles defense averaged 2.2 sacks per game. This may surprise some people because of all of the talk about how good both defenses are. However, when it came to road sacks, the Vikings finished 28th in the NFL. Something to remember if you are taking a prop bet on the total number of sacks in the game.

Passing Yards Per Game

The passing results for the Philadelphia Eagles include Carson Wentz stats. To see how Nick Foles did on prop betting take a look at the his 2017 Prop Betting Results below. Overall these two teams were very similar with the Vikings having slightly more passing yards for the season.

To provide you with far more depth on quarterback prop betting. We have our player prop betting results from Bovada online sportsbook. We tracked EVERY player prop bet for both quarterbacks and have the; odds, lines, results and if the over or under covered. If you are serious about prop betting or playing daily fantasy football. Look at these stats before wagering.

Vikings vs Eagles 2017 Passing Stats

wdt_ID Team Off Stats Opp Stats Offense H/A Opponents H/A
1 Completions Overall Overall Home/Away Home/Away
2 Vikings 22.5 22.6 22.8 22.2
3 Eagles 21.4 20.5 20.4 18.2
4 Attempts Overall Overall Home/Away Home/Away
5 Vikings 33.4 37.5 33.9 37
6 Eagles 34.9 35.1 31.9 33.6
7 Passing Yards Overall Overall Home/Away Home/Away
8 Vikings 238.9 225.4 217.1 209.3
9 Eagles 233.8 197.4 209.4 191.2
10 Touchdowns Overall Overall Home/Away Home/Away
Team Off Stats Opp Stats Offense H/A Opponents H/A

Rushing Yards Per Game

When it comes to rushing the ball, the Vikings were the 8th ranked team in the NFL with an average of 120.7 rushing yards per game. On the road they averaged 111.6 yards. The Philadelphia Eagles were the 3rd ranked rushing offense in the NFL with an average of 130.1 yards per game and at home they also averaged 130.1 rushing yards per game.

Where these two teams excel is in rushing defense. The Vikings are the 2nd ranked team in the NFL, allowing only 83.4 yards per game but on the road they were not as good and surrendered 112.6 rushing yards per game. The Eagles were even better, as the #1 ranked rushing defense they gave up only 79.6 rushing yards per game and at home they were even better and only surrendered 71.3 rushing yards per game.

The takeaway from this is that if a team can not develop a passing game, they will find it hard to move the ball consistently just running the ball.

DVOA vs Offensive Player Position

Since prop wagering is often more about individual matchups than the team results. One important thing to do is breakdown the player vs the DVOA. This is common for daily fantasy football players and should be a part of your research for any player prop bet.

See our Vikings Bovada Player Prop Bet Results for the 2017 Season

See our Eagles Bovada Player Prop Bet Results for the 2017 Season

Vikings vs Eagles DVOA vs Position Matchup

wdt_ID DVOA Rank Offense Player Targets Rec TDs Yards
1 Vikings 3 Team Eagles
2 vs. PASS 4 QB Nick Foles
3 vs. RUN 5 RB1 Jay Ajayi 34 24 1 158
4 vs. RB-PA 2 RB2 LeGarrette Blount 8 8 1 50
5 vs. WR1 6 WR1 Alshon Jeffery 118 56 9 781
6 vs. WR2 4 WR2 Nelson Agholor 92 59 8 757
7 vs. WR3 15 WR3 Torrey Smith 65 36 2 430
8 vs. TEs 3 TE Zach Ertz 108 72 8 800
9 DVOA Offense 0 0 0 0
10 Eagles 5 Team Vikings
DVOA Rank Offense Player Targets Rec TDs Yards

Vikings vs Eagles NFC Championship
Game Betting Pick & Score Prediction

This is a quarterback driven league? Defense still looks like it is doing its job. These are two of the best defensive teams in football and both are lead by ex Los Angeles Rams journeyman quarterbacks. However, this is actually a good spot for the offense. Both teams have a weakness on defense that the offense can exploit if they are patient. Vikings WR Stefon Diggs vs. Eagles CB Jalen Mills: Jalen Mills is green toast and he isn’t done getting beaten this year. Spread out the defense and get the corner-backs in one on one coverage and they can be beaten. The key is getting enough of a running game to slow down the pass rush. Another area to exploit on the Eagles is the slot receiver.
Vikings RB Jerick McKinnon vs Eagle LB. The Eagles have had trouble with pass receiving running backs this year and it makes Jerick a better play than Latavius Murray. For the Eagles RB Corey Clement vs the Vikings LB. Like the Eagles, the Vikings are very good at stopping the run but they can be beat by the pass receiving back. Jay Ajayi can also catch the pass but Clement is the best receiver at running back and if the Eagles rushing game stalls then Clement will get the touches.

I watched Nick Foles looking fore any sign of improvement I really could not find any. The Eagles lack of a real passing game will cause Eagles drives to stall in the red zone and lead to more field goals than touchdowns. In the end, that will be the difference. Sorry Eagles fans, like Packer fans you now know how valuable your quarterback is.

Betting Pick: Vikings -3 and over 38.5 points

Score Prediction: Vikings 27 – Eagles 16

Betting Tip: Shop the betting lines. See our picks for the Top 5 Sportsbooks & Get a Bonus today.


Vikings vs Eagles Player Prop Betting Predictions

Bovada released player prop bet odds and team prop betting odds. I will bet adding more up till kickoff so please check back.
See them live here…
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Stefon Diggs MIN 59½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receptions Stefon Diggs MIN 5 -115 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Jerick McKinnon MIN 19½ -115 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Nelson Agholor PHI 37½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Rushing Yards Latavius Murray MIN 60½ -115 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Rushing Yards Jay Ajayi PHI 57½ -105 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Passing Yards Nick Foles PHI 209½ -105 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Passing Yards Case Keenum MIN 239½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receptions Zach Ertz PHI 5 -115 Under

AFC & NFC Bovada Player Prop Bets Odds Database
Use Search for Team or Player

Bovada Player Prop Bet Odds AFC NFC

wdt_ID Game Event Player Team Line Odds O/U
1 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Chris Hogan NE 44½ -125 Over
2 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Chris Hogan NE 44½ -105 Under
3 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Dion Lewis NE 29½ -130 Over
4 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Dion Lewis NE 29½ 100 Under
5 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Danny Amendola NE 40½ -125 Over
6 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Danny Amendola NE 40½ -105 Under
7 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Rob Gronkowski NE 80½ -130 Over
8 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards Rob Gronkowski NE 80½ 100 Under
9 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards James White NE 22½ -125 Over
10 Jaguars vs Patriots Receiving Yards James White NE 22½ -105 Under
Game Event Player Team Line Odds O/U