Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles
NFC Championship Prop Betting Picks
When: 6:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 21, 2018
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Betting Line: Eagles +3
Total: 38.5 points
What you will find here that you will not find anywhere else. We tracked nearly 6,000 player prop bets offered by Bovada sportsbook on the 2017 NFL season. We have odds, lines, results on every player prop bet offered on the Patriots and Jaguars players. Take the time to check them out before your daily fantasy sportsbook draft or before you make a player prop bet.
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Field Goals – Red Zone Offense & Defense
Because I started out prop betting in Las Vegas casinos. I began looking at field goals because they were always listed on parlay cards for Sunday & Monday night games. I found they were one of the easiest prop bets to win. The key on field goals made is to have an offense gain enough yards to get in field goal position and not be able to score a touchdown. That lead me to taking a serious look at red zone offense & defense.
The Eagles overall offensive stats of course include the games with Carson Wentz at quarterback. In the red zone the Eagles scored on 63.79% of their drives which ranked 2nd in the NFL. At home the Eagles ranked 3rd and scored on 67.86% of red zone drives. The Vikings overall scored on 58.33% of red zone drives and on the road they scored on 58.62% of drives. Where the Vikings excelled was on red zone defense. The Vikings ranked #2 overall and gave up a touchdown on just 43.18% of red zone drives by the opposing offense. On the road they were the 5th ranked team at 42.86%. The Eagles overall allowed opposing offenses to score on 53.66% of red zone drives and at home they allowed touchdowns on only 44.44%.
When if comes to field goals, the Vikings kicked an average of 2.1 field goals per game and on the road they kicked an average of 1.9 per game. The Eagles offense kicked an average of 1.9 field goals per game and at home they had 1.7 per game. How did these two teams do against opposing teams on field goals? The Vikings allowed an average of 1.6 field goals per game overall and 1.9 per game on road games. The Eagles allowed 1.2 field goals per game overall which ranked 2nd in the NFL and they alowed 1.0 field goal per game at home which also ranked 2nd in the NFL.
In the four games started by Nick Foles, the Eagles are 7 of 8 on field goal attempts. Against a good Atlanta defense, the Eagles were 3 of 3 on field goals and only scored a total of 15 points.
Scoring by Quarter & Live Betting
Vikings vs Eagles Scoring by Quarter
|wdt_ID||Scoring by Quarter||1st||2nd||3rd||4th||Total|
|1||Overall - Offense|
|5||Home/Away - Offense|
|9||Overall - Defense|
|13||Home/Away - Defense|
|Scoring by Quarter||1st||2nd||3rd||4th||Total|
Sacks Per Game – Offense / Defense
Passing Yards Per Game
To provide you with far more depth on quarterback prop betting. We have our player prop betting results from Bovada online sportsbook. We tracked EVERY player prop bet for both quarterbacks and have the; odds, lines, results and if the over or under covered. If you are serious about prop betting or playing daily fantasy football. Look at these stats before wagering.
Vikings vs Eagles 2017 Passing Stats
|wdt_ID||Team||Off Stats||Opp Stats||Offense H/A||Opponents H/A|
|Team||Off Stats||Opp Stats||Offense H/A||Opponents H/A|
Rushing Yards Per Game
Where these two teams excel is in rushing defense. The Vikings are the 2nd ranked team in the NFL, allowing only 83.4 yards per game but on the road they were not as good and surrendered 112.6 rushing yards per game. The Eagles were even better, as the #1 ranked rushing defense they gave up only 79.6 rushing yards per game and at home they were even better and only surrendered 71.3 rushing yards per game.
The takeaway from this is that if a team can not develop a passing game, they will find it hard to move the ball consistently just running the ball.
DVOA vs Offensive Player Position
Since prop wagering is often more about individual matchups than the team results. One important thing to do is breakdown the player vs the DVOA. This is common for daily fantasy football players and should be a part of your research for any player prop bet.
See our Vikings Bovada Player Prop Bet Results for the 2017 Season
See our Eagles Bovada Player Prop Bet Results for the 2017 Season
Vikings vs Eagles DVOA vs Position Matchup
|2||vs. PASS||4||QB||Nick Foles|
|3||vs. RUN||5||RB1||Jay Ajayi||34||24||1||158|
|4||vs. RB-PA||2||RB2||LeGarrette Blount||8||8||1||50|
|5||vs. WR1||6||WR1||Alshon Jeffery||118||56||9||781|
|6||vs. WR2||4||WR2||Nelson Agholor||92||59||8||757|
|7||vs. WR3||15||WR3||Torrey Smith||65||36||2||430|
|8||vs. TEs||3||TE||Zach Ertz||108||72||8||800|
Vikings vs Eagles NFC Championship
Game Betting Pick & Score Prediction
This is a quarterback driven league? Defense still looks like it is doing its job. These are two of the best defensive teams in football and both are lead by ex Los Angeles Rams journeyman quarterbacks. However, this is actually a good spot for the offense. Both teams have a weakness on defense that the offense can exploit if they are patient. Vikings WR Stefon Diggs vs. Eagles CB Jalen Mills: Jalen Mills is green toast and he isn’t done getting beaten this year. Spread out the defense and get the corner-backs in one on one coverage and they can be beaten. The key is getting enough of a running game to slow down the pass rush. Another area to exploit on the Eagles is the slot receiver.
Vikings RB Jerick McKinnon vs Eagle LB. The Eagles have had trouble with pass receiving running backs this year and it makes Jerick a better play than Latavius Murray. For the Eagles RB Corey Clement vs the Vikings LB. Like the Eagles, the Vikings are very good at stopping the run but they can be beat by the pass receiving back. Jay Ajayi can also catch the pass but Clement is the best receiver at running back and if the Eagles rushing game stalls then Clement will get the touches.
I watched Nick Foles looking fore any sign of improvement I really could not find any. The Eagles lack of a real passing game will cause Eagles drives to stall in the red zone and lead to more field goals than touchdowns. In the end, that will be the difference. Sorry Eagles fans, like Packer fans you now know how valuable your quarterback is.
Betting Pick: Vikings -3 and over 38.5 points
Score Prediction: Vikings 27 – Eagles 16
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Vikings vs Eagles Player Prop Betting Predictions
Bovada released player prop bet odds and team prop betting odds. I will bet adding more up till kickoff so please check back.
See them live here…
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Stefon Diggs MIN 59½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receptions Stefon Diggs MIN 5 -115 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Jerick McKinnon MIN 19½ -115 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receiving Yards Nelson Agholor PHI 37½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Rushing Yards Latavius Murray MIN 60½ -115 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Rushing Yards Jay Ajayi PHI 57½ -105 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Passing Yards Nick Foles PHI 209½ -105 Under
Vikings vs Eagles Passing Yards Case Keenum MIN 239½ -125 Over
Vikings vs Eagles Receptions Zach Ertz PHI 5 -115 Under
AFC & NFC Bovada Player Prop Bets Odds Database
Use Search for Team or Player
Bovada Player Prop Bet Odds AFC NFC
|1||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Chris Hogan||NE||44½||-125||Over|
|2||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Chris Hogan||NE||44½||-105||Under|
|3||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Dion Lewis||NE||29½||-130||Over|
|4||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Dion Lewis||NE||29½||100||Under|
|5||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Danny Amendola||NE||40½||-125||Over|
|6||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Danny Amendola||NE||40½||-105||Under|
|7||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Rob Gronkowski||NE||80½||-130||Over|
|8||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||Rob Gronkowski||NE||80½||100||Under|
|9||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||James White||NE||22½||-125||Over|
|10||Jaguars vs Patriots||Receiving Yards||James White||NE||22½||-105||Under|