Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams
Betting Prediction NFL Wild Card Game
When: 8:15 PM ET, Saturday, January 6, 2018
Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Betting Line: Rams -6.5
Falcons vs Rams Game & Prop Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons (10-6) won six of their last eight games. However, Matt Ryan had only five touchdown passes versus four interceptions in the final six games. The Falcons will lean on the running tandem of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, who rushed for a combined 1,493 yards and 12 touchdowns while adding 63 receptions and four scores. The Los Angeles Rams (11-5) Jared Goff had 28 touchdown passes against only seven picks this season. Running back Todd Gurley rushed for 1,305 yards and led the league in touchdowns (19) and yards from scrimmage (2,093) while rushing for more than 100 yards six times. At receiver rookie Cooper Kupp had 62 receptions and Robert Woods had 56 catches.The Rams ranked 28th against the run despite the presence of stud tackle Aaron Donald (11 sacks).
Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams’s last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
LA Rams is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams’s last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams’s last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons 2017 Prop Bet Results from Bovada
Matt Ryan 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Not much of a surprise for Matt Ryan prop betting lines to favor covering the under. He went (32-51-2) on overs on his prop bets in 2017. Some were around fifty-fifty; completions he went (7-9) to the over, interceptions he went (7-9) to the over, passing yards he went (6-10) on over bets, rushing yards he went (9-7) on over bets. The ones that really stand out are his passing attempts going 0-5 on over bets and his touchdown passes went (3-11-2) on over bets. Lastly, the Rams defense ranks third in DVOA against the pass, expect a run-heavy approach from the Falcons here.
Devonta Freeman 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Devonta was a strong under play this season. Overall he went just (15-26-3) on over bets. He did his “best” over betting results on rushing yards by going (6-8) to the over. His receiving results would have made an under better a lot of money. On receptions he went (4-7-3) on over bets, on receiving yards he went 5-9 on overs and his combined rushing and receiving yardage prop bets were (0-2) if you bet the over. For Devonta, look to take advantage of the under if receiving prop bets are offered on him.
Tevin Coleman 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Coleman really played to the under in prop betting. There were four different prop betting event for him in 2017. Rushing yards he went (1-1). On combined rushing and receiving yards he went just (1-4) to the over. His was good for cashing the under when it came to receiving. On receptions he was (0-3) on over bets and on receiving yards he was (0-2). Add it all up and he went (2-9) if you had bet the over on him this year.
Austin Hooper 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Like a lot of the Falcons players in 2017, Austin Hooper was a decent under play. On receiving yardage he was (7-7) on over under bets. However, when it came to receptions he was just (5-8-1) for over prop bets. His overall total of (12-15-1) was a little money maker for under bets.
Julio Jones 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Julio Jones had a down year compared to last year and it shows in his prop betting results. His yardage prop bets ended up with the over cashing at 6-9 for the year and his receptions cost you money if you bet the over as the over went (5-9-2) for the season.
Mohamed Sanu 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Sanu had a very average year for prop betting with the posted odds from Bovada. Receiving yardage he went (8-7) to the over and in receptions he went (7-8) to the over. If he didn’t drop so many passes he could have been a money maker on prop bets.
NFL Prop Betting Tips
Shop the lines. Betting odds & lines vary a lot from one sportsbook to another. It is not uncommon to see a quarterback yardage total of 250.5 at one sportsbook and 257.5 at another. The odds also vary depending on how much money has already been bet. There is nothing worse than losing a bet you could have won if you had just taken 5 minutes to line shop.
Use all of your bonus offers. You most likely know about the welcome bonus and there is an opportunity to leverage your betting while you line shop by opening accounts at several different sportsbooks and taking full advantage of the welcome bonus at each one. There is also another way to add to your bonus total. The refer a friend bonus. You open an account at sportsbook Bovada and your friend opens an account at Sportsbetting.ag. Then you refer each other and collect the refer-a-freind bonus offer.
Here are 5 online sportsbooks to get you started.
Los Angeles Rams 2017 Prop Bet Results from Bovada
Jared Goff 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Despite his breakout year and a top rated offense, Jared Goff prop betting leaned to the under. Overall he went (37-42-1) on over bets. When I broke down his prop betting results by type of bet there are a few that standout. Lets start with the ones that are close to even; passing yards (8-7) on over bets and completions (8-6-1) on over bets. The bets that go to the under are; interceptions (6-9) on over bets, passing attempts (2-4) on over bets, rushing yards (4-10) on over bets. So, where was he a good over bet? On touchdown passes the over went (9-6). he gets a good matchup vs Atlanta as the defense ranked below average in DVOA against both the run and the pass this year.
Todd Gurley 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Todd Gurley may have just had an MVP season but his over betting is good but not great. He went (25-18-2) on over bets in 2017. Rushing overs were (8-7), receptions were (7-6-2) and the one that really made money for overs on prop bets was receiving yards (10-5) to the over.
Cooper Kupp 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Cooper Kupp was a third round pick who has really done well for certain over prop bets. His reception prop bets were average at (4-5-3) to the over. However, his yardage prop bets ended up at (8-4) to the over. What is really impressive is that in his last 8 games that over / under odds were offered for yardage, he went (7-1) to the over.
Robert Woods 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Robert Woods has been money in the bank for over prop bets. Receiving yardage bets he was (7-2) to the over and on receptions he went (7-1-1) to the over. With all of the talk how a new coaching staff has turned around Jared Goff, the same is true of Robert Woods and his breakout year.
Sammy Watkins 2017 props from Bovada sportsbook. Sammy Watkins has been a money maker. That is if you like betting the under. Despite all of the hype or maybe because of it the books raked in money on his reputation when gamblers bet the over. For the season on receptions he went (4-8-2) on over bets and for receiving yardage he was (3-11) in 2017. That means for the year at Bovada he went (7-19-2) on over prop bets.
Falcons vs Rams Game & Prop Bet Predictions
The Los Angeles Rams offense has been one of the best in the NFL this season and they should continue to score against the Falcons. However, the Rams defense can be run on and the Falcons have the running backs to do it. For all of the talk about Julio Jones, it is Freeman who will be the most important player for the Falcons to stay in the game. I have both offense able to move the ball. The Rams loss of one of the best field goal kickers in football will come into play here. I do like the Rams to win but not cover the 6.5 points. I also have money on the over as I have the Falcons getting 23 points in the game.
Betting Pick: Falcons +6.5 & Over 48.5 points
Rams 31 – Falcons 27
Rams vs Falcons NFL Player Prop Bet Picks
Falcons vs Rams Betting Picks
|1||Receiving Yards||Julio Jones||ATL||90½||-125||Over|
|2||Receiving Yards||Julio Jones||ATL||90½||-105||Under||Under|
|3||Receiving Yards||Devonta Freeman||ATL||19½||-125||Over||Over|
|4||Receiving Yards||Devonta Freeman||ATL||19½||-105||Under|
|5||Receiving Yards||Todd Gurley||LA||42½||-130||Over||Over|
|6||Receiving Yards||Todd Gurley||LA||42½||100||Under|
|7||Receiving Yards||Sammy Watkins||LA||37½||-115||Over|
|8||Receiving Yards||Sammy Watkins||LA||37½||-115||Under||Under|
|9||Receiving Yards||Robert Woods||LA||57½||-115||Over||Over|
|10||Receiving Yards||Robert Woods||LA||57½||-115||Under|