Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Prediction NFL Wild Card Game
When: 1:05 PM ET, Sunday, January 7, 2018
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Betting Line: Jaguars -9
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Game & Prop Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills (9-7) running back LeSean:McCoy finished the season with 1,138 rushing yards. and he lead the team with 59 receptions. The weakness for the Buffalo offense is a passing game that ranked 31st with 176.6 yards per game. The Bills one-dimensional offense is just what Jacksonville needs to get some playoff experience. The Jaguars defense ranks among the league leaders in yards and points allowed, sacks and interceptions.(55 sacks 21 interceptions and scored seven touchdowns). The Jaguars (10-6) also have their own star in rookie running back Leonard Fournette. He makes quarterback Blake Bortles life a lot easier and it showed as Bortles was able to complete a career-high 60.2 percent of his passes and had a career-low 13 interceptions
Bills vs Jaguars Betting Trends
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in January.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games in January.
Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Bills last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 vs. AFC.
Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Jaguars last 6 playoff games.
Over is 10-4 in Jaguars last 14 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 11-5 in Jaguars last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buffalo Bills 2017 Prop Betting Results
The results are based on Bovada online sportsbook posted odds. The numbers for each player are listed as bets to the over. Example: if a player is listed at (8-4). Then on the 12 times odds were posted on him he went over the total 8 times and under the total 4 times.To see every prop bet offered on a player this year. Just click on the name below.
Tyrod Taylor was the embodiment of average. The over under on his prop betting; completions (8-6), passing yards (6-8), rushing yards (6-7). There were two prop bets that do stand out. The over was (4-9) on interceptions and the over went (3-11) on touchdowns passes.
IIt looks like he will play and my bets are based on him being in the starting lineup.Like the rest of the Bills offense, LeSean McCoy leaned to the under on his prop bet results. The over results were; rushing yards (6-9), receiving yards (5-10) and on receptions he was (6-7-2). Overall the over went (17-26-2) in 2017.
Charles was very average. The over went (4-4) on receiving yards and it went (5-3) on receptions.
Zay Jones didn’t have odds offered that many times in 2017 and when he did, he was an under play. The over on prop bet went (1-2) on pass receiving yards and it was also (1-2) on receptions.
Kelvin did not do much in 2017 for Buffalo. On prop betting lines he was (1-2) to the over on receiving yards and (1-2-1) on receptions.
NFL Prop Betting Tips
Shop the lines. Betting odds & lines vary a lot from one sportsbook to another. It is not uncommon to see a quarterback yardage total of 250.5 at one sportsbook and 257.5 at another. The odds also vary depending on how much money has already been bet. There is nothing worse than losing a bet you could have won if you had just taken 5 minutes to line shop.
Use all of your bonus offers. You most likely know about the welcome bonus and there is an opportunity to leverage your betting while you line shop by opening accounts at several different sportsbooks and taking full advantage of the welcome bonus at each one. There is also another way to add to your bonus total. The refer a friend bonus. You open an account at sportsbook Bovada and your friend opens an account at Sportsbetting.ag. Then you refer each other and collect the refer-a-freind bonus offer.
Here are 5 online sportsbooks to get you started.
Jacksonville Jaguares 2017 Prop Betting Results
The results are based on Bovada online sportsbook posted odds. The numbers for each player are listed as bets to the over. Example: if a player is listed at (8-4). Then on the 12 times odds were posted on him he went over the total 8 times and under the total 4 times. To see every prop bet offered on a player this year. Just click on the name below.
For the season Black Bortles leaned to the under on his prop betting results at (35-42). Breaking down his results based on betting the over on proposition odds: passing yards (9-6), completions (6-9), attempts (1-2), rushing yards (8-6), interceptions (6-9) and touchdowns (5-10).
Two things that standout. It would surprise most people that Blake Bortles covered the over at a (9-6) clip on passing yards. The second thing to note is on his touchdowns which for the season he finished (5-10) on over bets. However, over the last 5 weeks of the season he was (4-1) on overs.
There were three types of prop bets offered on Leonard Fournette during the season and at first glance nothing stands out but he has a strong trend. The 2017 results based on betting the over were: rushing yards (4-6), receptions (5-3) and receiving yards (4-4). However as a receiver he really came on and over the last 4 weeks that odds were offered he went (4-0) to the over on both receptions and receiving yards.
Lewis is more of a blocker than a receiving and his proposition betting results show it. For the season on receptions he was (1-3-1) if you bet the over and on receiving yards he was (1-4) to the over.
If you wan to make money betting on Allen Hurns then bet the under. For receiving yards he finished (1-5) and for receptions he finished (1-4-1) if you bet the over every week.
Marqise Lee proposition betting results if you bet the over; receptions (4-4-2) and receiving yards (7-3).
Bills vs Jaguars Game & Prop Bet Predictions
This Bills are in trouble. Their defense was one of the worst in the NFL at stopping the run and the Jaguars will run Fournette all day and he is a decent receiver out of the backfield. The Bills offense will have trouble scoring and this game should be a blowout. After yesterdays two upsets there will be some money placed on the Bills and for me that works out as I am taking the Jaguars and laying the 9 points.
Game Betting Pick: Jaguars -9
Jaguars 27 – Bills 13
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prop Bet Picks
LeSean McCoy prop bet odds are not listed as I wrote this but they should go up a couple of hours before the game. To see them use the link below.
Bills vs Jaguars Wild Card Prop Bet Picks
|1||Total Receiving Yards||Kelvin Benjamin||BUF||40½||-120||Over|
|2||Total Receiving Yards||Kelvin Benjamin||BUF||40½||-110||Under||Under|
|3||Total Receiving Yards||Leonard Fournette||JAC||21½||-125||Over||Over|
|4||Total Receiving Yards||Leonard Fournette||JAC||21½||-105||Under|
|5||Total Receptions||Leonard Fournette||JAC||3||-125||Over||Over|
|6||Total Receptions||Leonard Fournette||JAC||3||-105||Under|
|7||Total Rushing Yards||Leonard Fournette||JAC||92½||-135||Over||Over|
|8||Total Rushing Yards||Leonard Fournette||JAC||92½||105||Under|
|9||Total Passing Yards||Tyrod Taylor||BUF||187½||-130||Over|
|10||Total Passing Yards||Tyrod Taylor||BUF||187½||100||Under||Under|