Virginia at Navy Military Bowl 2017 Betting Prediction

Virginia at Navy Military Bowl 2017
Betting Pick & Score Prediction

When: 1:30 PM ET, Thursday, December 28, 2017
Where: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: Virginia -1
Total: 52

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Virginia vs Navy
Military Bowl Betting Preview

The Midshipmen will be playing at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, but the Cavaliers campus is just 150 miles away so this game should be sold out. Navy started the season 5-0, but has now lost three straight and six in of seven games. The Cavaliers are also moving in the wrong direction with three straight losses and they have lost five of their last six games.

The Virginia Cavaliers (6-6, 3-5 ACC) quarterback Kurt Benkert (25 touchdowns, eight interceptions) has 3,062 passing yards this season. Running back Jordan Ellis (team-high 799 yards, six TDs) and H-Back Olamide Zaccheaus (club-most 80 catches, 833 yards, five TDs) will need to play big for Virginia if they are going to keep the Navy offense off of the field. Navy has the No. 2 rushing offense (343 yards per game) while Virginia has the 80th-ranked run defense that allows an average 178.3 yards. This was a down year for Navy (6-6, 4-4 American Athletic Conference). Quarterback Malcolm Perry rushed for 250 yards and a touchdown against Army while playing quarterback for the second time this season. The Midshipmen have attempted only 101 passes this season but they have been able to get deep on the completions with an average reception of 23.2 yards.

Virginia vs Navy Betting Trends

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Virginia is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Virginia is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road

Navy Midshipmen

Navy is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Navy is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy’s last 7 games
Navy is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Navy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

Navy vs Virginia Betting Prediction

Home field advantage for Navy will help in this one. When the bowl was announced I had Navy as a 5 point favorite in my power rankings. I am taking them on the money line and the outright win.

Betting Pick: Navy money line

Score Prediction: Navy 27 – Virginia 23