TaxSlayer Bowl Louisville vs Mississippi State Pick

Louisville vs Mississippi State
2017 TaxSlayer Bowl Betting Preview

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 30, 2017
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: Louisville -6.5
Total: 63


Louisville vs Mississippi State Betting Preview

Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson finished third in the Heisman Trophy voting in 2017 after winning it as a sophomore. He is the only player in school history to rush for over 1,300 yards in consecutive seasons and has topped the century mark in six straight games. Jackson’s 411 yards of total offense per game is more than the average of 76 FBS teams.The Bulldogs lost starting quarterback Nick Fitzgerald with a dislocated ankle early in their regular-season finale 31-28 loss to Ole Miss on Thanksgiving. He was vital to the offense as both a rusher and a passer. Louisville (8-4, 4-4 ACC) Cardinals’ get a lot of attention on the offense but it is the defense improvement that allowed an average of 233.3 yards and 16 points during the three-game winning streak that has really turned this team into a blowout opportunity. The Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4, 4-4 SEC): Aeris Williams became the Bulldogs’ first 1,000-yard rusher at running back since Josh Robinson in 2014. Defensive end Montez Sweat was named to the all-conference team after posting a SEC-best 10 sacks and ranks fourth in the league with 12.5 tackles for loss.

Louisville vs Mississippi State Betting Trends

Louisville

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cardinals are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Mississippi State

Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.

Louisville vs Mississippi State Betting Prediction

Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson is far and away the best player on the field and the Cardinals will be able to score 35+ points against the Bulldogs. MSU running backs coach Greg Knox will be the interim head coach for this one and new head coach Joe Moorhead will be watching from the booth. I don’t like the lack of focus that happens to minor bowl teams. This game has blowout written all over it and I will be on the Cardinals up to -7.

Betting Pick: Louisville -6.5
Score Prediction:
Louisville 38 – Mississippi State 20